Brasileirão 2024 Round 25

Updated at 21-9-2024 18:39

Probability of Winning the Championship

#	Team	Probs
1	Botafogo	36.5%
2	Fortaleza	31.6%
3	Palmeiras	16.4%
4	Flamengo	10.0%
5	Cruzeiro	2.3%
6	São Paulo	1.6%
7	Bahia	0.7%
8	Internacional	0.5%
9	Atlético-MG	0.2%
10	Vasco	0.1%

Probability of access to Libertadores Group Phase

#	Team	Probs
1	Botafogo	90.1%
2	Fortaleza	86.5%
3	Palmeiras	74.0%
4	Flamengo	60.8%
5	Cruzeiro	29.0%
6	São Paulo	24.1%
7	Bahia	14.5%
8	Internacional	8.5%
9	Atlético-MG	5.5%
10	Vasco	4.4%
11	Athletico-PR	1.0%
12	Bragantino	0.7%
13	Grêmio	0.4%
14	Criciúma	0.2%
15	Juventude	0.1%
16	Fluminense	0.1%

Probability of access to Libertadores Qualification Phase

#	Team	Probs
1	São Paulo	31.0%
2	Cruzeiro	30.4%
3	Flamengo	24.3%
4	Bahia	24.1%
5	Palmeiras	18.6%
6	Internacional	15.7%
7	Atlético-MG	13.3%
8	Vasco	11.5%
9	Fortaleza	10.5%
10	Botafogo	8.0%
11	Athletico-PR	4.2%
12	Bragantino	3.2%
13	Grêmio	1.9%
14	Criciúma	1.4%
15	Juventude	1.0%
16	Fluminense	0.8%
17	Corinthians	0.1%

Probability of access to Copa Sulamericana

#	Team	Probs
1	Vasco	64.5%
2	Atlético-MG	63.0%
3	Internacional	60.3%
4	Bahia	56.6%
5	Athletico-PR	50.2%
6	Bragantino	47.5%
7	São Paulo	42.9%
8	Cruzeiro	38.6%
9	Grêmio	37.3%
10	Criciúma	34.0%
11	Juventude	29.8%
12	Fluminense	27.9%
13	Flamengo	14.7%
14	Corinthians	10.5%
15	Palmeiras	7.4%
16	Cuiabá	6.2%
17	Vitória	3.3%
18	Fortaleza	3.1%
19	Botafogo	1.8%
20	Atlético-GO	0.4%

Probability of being relegated to Series B at the end of the championship

#	Team	Probs
1	Atlético-GO	93.0%
2	Vitória	75.9%
3	Cuiabá	65.4%
4	Corinthians	52.5%
5	Fluminense	26.3%
6	Juventude	22.2%
7	Criciúma	20.2%
8	Grêmio	18.5%
9	Bragantino	10.7%
10	Athletico-PR	9.6%
11	Vasco	1.9%
12	Atlético-MG	1.8%
13	Internacional	1.8%
14	Bahia	0.2%

Round 25 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD
1	Botafogo	50	15	5	5	43	24	19
2	Fortaleza	48	14	6	4	30	22	8
3	Palmeiras	47	14	5	6	38	19	19
4	Flamengo	44	13	5	6	39	28	11
5	São Paulo	41	12	5	8	33	26	7
6	Cruzeiro	40	12	4	8	34	26	8
7	Bahia	39	11	6	8	34	27	7
8	Vasco	34	10	4	10	29	34	-5
9	Atlético-MG	33	8	9	6	32	33	-1
10	Internacional	31	8	7	6	22	19	3
11	Bragantino	30	8	6	10	29	30	-1
12	Athletico-PR	29	8	5	10	26	28	-2
13	Juventude	29	7	8	10	29	35	-6
14	Criciúma	28	7	7	10	32	35	-3
15	Grêmio	27	8	3	12	23	28	-5
16	Fluminense	27	7	6	11	20	26	-6
17	Corinthians	25	5	10	10	22	31	-9
18	Vitória	22	6	4	15	26	39	-13
19	Cuiabá	22	5	7	12	23	35	-12
20	Atlético-GO	18	4	6	15	21	40	-19