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La Liga 2 26/27·2026-09-26·Round 7

Probability Shifts Shake La Liga 2 Standings

By Alberto Ibarra · · Round-up

AD Ceuta FC's 3-1 victory over Real Sociedad B has significantly impacted the relegation probabilities in La Liga 2. AD Ceuta FC's chances of relegation decreased from 45.2% to 36.0%, marking a notable 9.2% improvement. Real Sociedad B, however, saw their relegation probability increase from 11.2% to 15.8%, following their defeat.

Granada's unexpected 2-3 loss to Andorra CF resulted in a similar swing in probabilities. Granada's relegation likelihood rose from 11.5% to 15.7%, a 4.2% increase. Conversely, Andorra CF’s relegation probability dropped from 50.3% to 41.1%, reflecting a significant 9.2% decrease. The victory also saw Andorra CF's playoff chances rise from 4.0% to 5.9%.

In the playoff race, AD Ceuta FC's win led to an uptick in their playoff probability from 5.2% to 7.5%. Meanwhile, Real Sociedad B and Granada experienced declines in both playoff and promotion probabilities. Real Sociedad B's playoff chances fell from 21.2% to 17.1%, while Granada's dropped from 20.7% to 17.3%.

As the competition progresses, teams like Girona are also seeing trends in their playoff probabilities, with a notable increase from 24.4% to 28.7% over two rounds. The next rounds will be crucial for teams like AD Ceuta FC and Andorra CF, who will aim to build on their recent momentum to further secure their positions.

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