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Aston Villa Europa League Chances 202651.8%

Premier League 25/26 · Round 36 of 38 · Rank #5 · 36 MP

Aston Villa Premier League 25/26 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
0.0%
Relegation
#5
Position
DWLLD
Last 5 matches
Aston Villa are strong contenders for Europa League at 51.8%, currently ranked 5th — updated after every match.

Live Updated at

Aston Villa are 5th in the Premier League 25/26 2026 season after 36 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 51.8% chance of europa league — with 2 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Premier League 25/26 matches, Aston Villa have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Premier League 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Aston Villa's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-03-14
  • Champions League: 40.5%
  • Europa League: 51.8%
  • Relegation: 0.0%Since 2025-11-30

Premier League 25/26 — Competition Races:

← View all Premier League 25/26 standings and odds

See also:

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%6:00 PMLiverpool#4Champions League: 58.7%Europa League: 38.0%
44%
32%
Manchester City#2Winner: 7.4%Champions League: 100.0%3:00 PMAston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%
66%
14%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-05-10Burnley#19Relegation: 100.0%2 - 2Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%
2026-05-03Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%1 - 2Tottenham#17Relegation: 16.5%
2026-04-25Fulham#111 - 0Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%
2026-04-19Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%4 - 3Sunderland#12
2026-04-12Nottingham Forest#151 - 1Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%
2026-03-22Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%2 - 0West Ham#18Relegation: 83.5%
2026-03-15Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0%3 - 1Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%
2026-03-04Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%1 - 4Chelsea#9
2026-02-27Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 100.0%2 - 0Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%
2026-02-21Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%1 - 1Leeds United#16
2026-02-11Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%1 - 0Brighton#7Europa League: 1.1%
2026-02-07Bournemouth#6Champions League: 0.8%Europa League: 9.1%1 - 1Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%
2026-02-01Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%0 - 1Brentford#8
2026-01-25Newcastle#130 - 2Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%
2026-01-18Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%0 - 1Everton#10
2026-01-07Crystal Palace#140 - 0Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%
2026-01-03Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%3 - 1Nottingham Forest#15
2025-12-30Arsenal#1Winner: 92.6%Champions League: 100.0%4 - 1Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%
2025-12-27Chelsea#91 - 2Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%
2025-12-21Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%2 - 1Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0%
2025-12-14West Ham#18Relegation: 83.5%2 - 3Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%
2025-12-06Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%2 - 1Arsenal#1Winner: 92.6%Champions League: 100.0%
2025-12-03Brighton#7Europa League: 1.1%3 - 4Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%
2025-11-30Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%1 - 0Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 100.0%
2025-11-23Leeds United#161 - 2Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%
2025-11-09Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%4 - 0Bournemouth#6Champions League: 0.8%Europa League: 9.1%
2025-11-01Liverpool#4Champions League: 58.7%Europa League: 38.0%2 - 0Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%
2025-10-26Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%1 - 0Manchester City#2Winner: 7.4%Champions League: 100.0%
2025-10-19Tottenham#17Relegation: 16.5%1 - 2Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%
2025-10-05Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%2 - 1Burnley#19Relegation: 100.0%
2025-09-28Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%3 - 1Fulham#11
2025-09-21Sunderland#121 - 1Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%
2025-09-13Everton#100 - 0Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%
2025-08-31Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%0 - 3Crystal Palace#14
2025-08-23Brentford#81 - 0Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%
2025-08-16Aston Villa#5Champions League: 40.5%Europa League: 51.8%0 - 0Newcastle#13