Aston Villa
Aston Villa Europa League Chances 2026 — 49.4%
Premier League 25/26 · Round 34 of 38 · Rank #5 · 34 MP
Aston Villa Premier League 25/26 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
0.0%
Relegation
#5
Position
LWDWL
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓
Live — Updated at
Aston Villa are 5th in the Premier League 25/26 2026 season after 34 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 49.4% chance of europa league — with 4 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Premier League 25/26 matches, Aston Villa have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Premier League 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Aston Villa's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-03-14
- Champions League: 48.6%
- Europa League: 49.4%
- Relegation: 0.0%Since 2025-11-30
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
45%
30%
47%
22%
Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4%6:00 PM
Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
6:00 PMLiverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%45%
30%
Manchester City#2Winner: 28.2%Champions League: 99.9%
3:00 PMAston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4%
3:00 PMAston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4%66%
14%
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Fulham#10Europa League: 0.1% | 1 - 0 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% |
| 2026-04-19 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 4 - 3 |  Sunderland#12 |
| 2026-04-12 | Nottingham Forest#16Relegation: 2.3% | 1 - 1 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% |
| 2026-03-22 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 2 - 0 |  West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7% |
| 2026-03-15 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 3 - 1 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% |
| 2026-03-04 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 1 - 4 |  Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3% |
| 2026-02-27 | Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 99.9% | 2 - 0 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% |
| 2026-02-21 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 1 - 1 |  Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% |
| 2026-02-11 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 1 - 0 |  Brighton#6Champions League: 0.1%Europa League: 2.0% |
| 2026-02-07 | Bournemouth#7Europa League: 0.4% | 1 - 1 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% |
| 2026-02-01 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 0 - 1 |  Brentford#9Europa League: 0.2% |
| 2026-01-25 | Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1% | 0 - 2 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% |
| 2026-01-18 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 0 - 1 |  Everton#11 |
| 2026-01-07 | Crystal Palace#13 | 0 - 0 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% |
| 2026-01-03 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 3 - 1 | Nottingham Forest#16Relegation: 2.3% |
| 2025-12-30 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.8%Champions League: 99.9% | 4 - 1 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% |
| 2025-12-27 | Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3% | 1 - 2 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% |
| 2025-12-21 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 2 - 1 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% |
| 2025-12-14 | West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7% | 2 - 3 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% |
| 2025-12-06 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 2 - 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.8%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-12-03 | Brighton#6Champions League: 0.1%Europa League: 2.0% | 3 - 4 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% |
| 2025-11-30 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 1 - 0 | Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 99.9% |
| 2025-11-23 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 1 - 2 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% |
| 2025-11-09 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 4 - 0 | Bournemouth#7Europa League: 0.4% |
| 2025-11-01 | Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3% | 2 - 0 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% |
| 2025-10-26 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 1 - 0 | Manchester City#2Winner: 28.2%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-10-19 | Tottenham#18Relegation: 63.8% | 1 - 2 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% |
| 2025-10-05 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 2 - 1 |  Burnley#19Relegation: 99.9% |
| 2025-09-28 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 3 - 1 | Fulham#10Europa League: 0.1% |
| 2025-09-21 | Sunderland#12 | 1 - 1 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% |
| 2025-09-13 | Everton#11 | 0 - 0 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% |
| 2025-08-31 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 0 - 3 | Crystal Palace#13 |
| 2025-08-23 | Brentford#9Europa League: 0.2% | 1 - 0 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% |
| 2025-08-16 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 0 - 0 | Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1% |