Aston Villa
Aston Villa Releg Chances 2027 — 23.4%
Premier League 26/27 · Round 5 of 38 · Rank #16 · 5 MP
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Aston Villa are 16th in the Premier League 26/27 2027 season after 5 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 23.4% chance of releg — with 33 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Premier League 26/27 matches, Aston Villa have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their releg probability, Aston Villa's win chance currently stands at 1.4%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Premier League 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Aston Villa's 2027 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 1.4%
- UCL: 8.8%
- UEL: 3.4%
- Releg: 23.4%
More analysis
← View all Premier League 26/27 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
2:00 PM
Brentford#4Win: 6.7%UCL: 28.6%UEL: 6.7%Releg: 6.2%
4:30 PMAston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.8%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.4%11:30 AM
Man City#1Win: 25.8%UCL: 60.9%UEL: 7.0%Releg: 0.9%8:00 PM
Fulham#19Win: 0.7%UCL: 5.6%UEL: 2.4%Releg: 31.6%
3:00 PMAston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.8%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.4%Latest News
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Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |  | Tottenham#20Win: 0.7%UCL: 5.4%UEL: 2.1%Releg: 33.5% | 2 - 3 | Aston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.8%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.4% |
| 2026-09-12 | | Aston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.8%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.4% | 1 - 2 |  Forest |
| 2026-09-08 | Club Brugge | 2 - 3 | Aston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.8%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.4% | |
| 2026-09-05 | | Hull City#8Win: 4.6%UCL: 22.3%UEL: 6.2%Releg: 8.4% | 0 - 0 | Aston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.8%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.4% |
| 2026-08-31 | | Aston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.8%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.4% | 0 - 1 |  Arsenal#2Win: 13.2%UCL: 43.2%UEL: 7.8%Releg: 2.6% |
| 2026-08-23 | | Brighton#3Win: 9.1%UCL: 33.6%UEL: 7.2%Releg: 4.7% | 4 - 0 | Aston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.8%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.4% |