Manchester United
Manchester United Champions League Chances 2026 — 93.7%
Premier League 25/26 · Round 34 of 38 · Rank #3 · 34 MP
Manchester United Premier League 25/26 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
0.0%
Relegation
#3
Position
WDLWW
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓
Live — Updated at
Manchester United are 3rd in the Premier League 25/26 2026 season after 34 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 93.7% chance of champions league — with 4 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Premier League 25/26 matches, Manchester United have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Premier League 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Manchester United's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-03-16
- Champions League: 93.7%
- Europa League: 6.2%
- Relegation: 0.0%Since 2025-12-26
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2%2:30 PM
Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2:30 PMLiverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%49%
28%
33%
42%
Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2%6:00 PM
Nottingham Forest#16Relegation: 2.3%
6:00 PMNottingham Forest#16Relegation: 2.3%49%
28%
Brighton#6Champions League: 0.1%Europa League: 2.0%
3:00 PMManchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2%
3:00 PMManchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2%45%
31%
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 2 - 1 |  Brentford#9Europa League: 0.2% |
| 2026-04-18 | Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3% | 0 - 1 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% |
| 2026-04-13 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 1 - 2 |  Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% |
| 2026-03-20 | Bournemouth#7Europa League: 0.4% | 2 - 2 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% |
| 2026-03-15 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 3 - 1 |  Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% |
| 2026-03-04 | Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1% | 2 - 1 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% |
| 2026-03-01 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 2 - 1 |  Crystal Palace#13 |
| 2026-02-23 | Everton#11 | 0 - 1 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% |
| 2026-02-10 | West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7% | 1 - 1 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% |
| 2026-02-07 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 2 - 0 |  Tottenham#18Relegation: 63.8% |
| 2026-02-01 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 3 - 2 |  Fulham#10Europa League: 0.1% |
| 2026-01-25 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.8%Champions League: 99.9% | 2 - 3 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% |
| 2026-01-17 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 2 - 0 |  Manchester City#2Winner: 28.2%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-01-07 | Burnley#19Relegation: 99.9% | 2 - 2 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% |
| 2026-01-04 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 1 - 1 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% |
| 2025-12-30 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 1 - 1 |  Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 99.9% |
| 2025-12-26 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 1 - 0 | Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1% |
| 2025-12-21 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 2 - 1 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% |
| 2025-12-15 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 4 - 4 | Bournemouth#7Europa League: 0.4% |
| 2025-12-08 | Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 99.9% | 1 - 4 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% |
| 2025-12-04 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 1 - 1 | West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7% |
| 2025-11-30 | Crystal Palace#13 | 1 - 2 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% |
| 2025-11-24 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 0 - 1 | Everton#11 |
| 2025-11-08 | Tottenham#18Relegation: 63.8% | 2 - 2 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% |
| 2025-11-01 | Nottingham Forest#16Relegation: 2.3% | 2 - 2 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% |
| 2025-10-25 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 4 - 2 | Brighton#6Champions League: 0.1%Europa League: 2.0% |
| 2025-10-19 | Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3% | 1 - 2 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% |
| 2025-10-04 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 2 - 0 |  Sunderland#12 |
| 2025-09-27 | Brentford#9Europa League: 0.2% | 3 - 1 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% |
| 2025-09-20 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 2 - 1 | Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3% |
| 2025-09-14 | Manchester City#2Winner: 28.2%Champions League: 99.9% | 3 - 0 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% |
| 2025-08-30 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 3 - 2 | Burnley#19Relegation: 99.9% |
| 2025-08-24 | Fulham#10Europa League: 0.1% | 1 - 1 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% |
| 2025-08-17 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 0 - 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.8%Champions League: 99.9% |