Manchester United
Manchester United Champions League Chances 2026 — 100.0%
Premier League 25/26 · Round 38 of 38 · Rank #3 · 38 MP
Live — Updated at
Manchester United are 3rd in the Premier League 25/26 2026 season after 38 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of champions league — with 0 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Premier League 25/26 matches, Manchester United have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Premier League 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Manchester United's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-03-16
- Champions League: 100.0%Since 2026-05-10
- Europa League: 0.0%Since 2026-05-03
- Relegation: 0.0%Since 2025-12-26
Premier League 25/26 — Competition Races:
← View all Premier League 25/26 standings and odds
See also:
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Brighton#8 | 0 - 3 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-05-17 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 2 |  Nottingham Forest#16 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sunderland#7 | 0 - 0 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-05-03 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 2 |  Liverpool#5Europa League: 100.0% |
| 2026-04-27 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 1 |  Brentford#9 |
| 2026-04-18 | Chelsea#10 | 0 - 1 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-04-13 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 1 - 2 |  Leeds United#14 |
| 2026-03-20 | Bournemouth#6 | 2 - 2 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-03-15 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 1 |  Aston Villa#4Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-03-04 | Newcastle#12 | 2 - 1 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-03-01 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 1 |  Crystal Palace#15 |
| 2026-02-23 | Everton#13 | 0 - 1 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-02-10 | West Ham#18Relegation: 100.0% | 1 - 1 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-02-07 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 0 |  Tottenham#17 |
| 2026-02-01 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 2 |  Fulham#11 |
| 2026-01-25 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 3 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 0 |  Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-01-07 | Burnley#19Relegation: 100.0% | 2 - 2 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-01-04 | Leeds United#14 | 1 - 1 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-12-30 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 1 - 1 |  Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 100.0% |
| 2025-12-26 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 1 - 0 | Newcastle#12 |
| 2025-12-21 | Aston Villa#4Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 1 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-12-15 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 4 - 4 | Bournemouth#6 |
| 2025-12-08 | Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 100.0% | 1 - 4 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-12-04 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 1 - 1 | West Ham#18Relegation: 100.0% |
| 2025-11-30 | Crystal Palace#15 | 1 - 2 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-11-24 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 0 - 1 | Everton#13 |
| 2025-11-08 | Tottenham#17 | 2 - 2 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-11-01 | Nottingham Forest#16 | 2 - 2 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-10-25 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 4 - 2 | Brighton#8 |
| 2025-10-19 | Liverpool#5Europa League: 100.0% | 1 - 2 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-10-04 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 0 | Sunderland#7 |
| 2025-09-27 | Brentford#9 | 3 - 1 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-09-20 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 1 | Chelsea#10 |
| 2025-09-14 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 0 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-08-30 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 2 | Burnley#19Relegation: 100.0% |
| 2025-08-24 | Fulham#11 | 1 - 1 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-08-17 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 0 - 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |