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Switzerland World Cup 2026 — 100.0% Quarterfinals

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 104 of 94 · Rank #8 · 3 MP

How far can Switzerland go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Switzerland's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: July 19, 2026

Switzerland FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
0.0%
Group Stage Exit
#8
Position
WWWDL
Last 5 matches
Switzerland are the clear favourites for Quarterfinals at 100.0%, currently ranked 8th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Switzerland are 8th in the FIFA World Cup 2026 2026 season after 3 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of quarterfinals — with -10 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 FIFA World Cup 2026 matches, Switzerland have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining FIFA World Cup 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Switzerland's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-07-15
  • Final: 0.0%Since 2026-07-15
  • Semifinals: 0.0%Since 2026-07-15
  • Quarterfinals: 100.0%Since 2026-07-08
  • Round of 16: 100.0%Since 2026-07-03
  • Knockout: 100.0%Since 2026-06-18
  • Group Stage Exit: 0.0%Since 2026-06-18

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

South Korea Semifinals ChancesMexico Semifinals ChancesSouth Africa Quarterfinals ChancesBosnia and Herzegovina Quarterfinals ChancesQatar Quarterfinals ChancesCanada Round of 16 ChancesScotland Round of 16 ChancesMorocco Round of 16 ChancesBrazil Round of 16 ChancesHaiti Round of 16 Chances

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-07-11Argentina#38Final: 100.0%Semifinals: 100.0%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%3 - 1Switzerland#8Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%
2026-07-07Switzerland#8Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%0 - 0Colombia#44Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%
2026-07-03Switzerland#8Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%2 - 0Algeria#37Knockout: 100.0%
2026-06-24Switzerland#8Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%2 - 1Canada#9Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%
2026-06-18Switzerland#8Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%4 - 1Bosnia and Herzegovina#6Knockout: 100.0%
2026-06-13Qatar#7Group Stage Exit: 100.0%1 - 1Switzerland#8Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%