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Switzerland Knockout Chances 2026 — 90.7%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 8 of 94 · Rank #12 · 1 MP

How far can Switzerland go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Switzerland's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 14, 2026

Switzerland FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
2.3%
Winner
9.3%
Group Stage Exit
#12
Position
D
Last 1 matches
Switzerland are the clear favourites for Knockout at 90.7%, currently ranked 12th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Switzerland are 12th in the FIFA World Cup 2026 2026 season after 1 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 90.7% chance of knockout — with 86 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 1 FIFA World Cup 2026 matches, Switzerland have recorded 1 draw. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their knockout probability, Switzerland's winner chance currently stands at 2.3%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining FIFA World Cup 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Switzerland's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 2.3%
  • Final: 5.6%
  • Semifinals: 13.4%
  • Quarterfinals: 37.9%
  • Round of 16: 60.0%
  • Knockout: 90.7%
  • Group Stage Exit: 9.3%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

England Quarterfinals ChancesNetherlands Quarterfinals ChancesMexico Round of 16 ChancesSpain Round of 16 ChancesPortugal Round of 16 ChancesColombia Round of 16 ChancesCroatia Round of 16 ChancesUruguay Round of 16 ChancesSenegal Round of 16 ChancesMorocco Knockout Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Switzerland#12Winner: 2.3%Final: 5.6%Semifinals: 13.4%Quarterfinals: 37.9%Round of 16: 60.0%Knockout: 90.7%Group Stage Exit: 9.3%7:00 PMBosnia and Herzegovina#30Winner: 0.3%Final: 0.7%Semifinals: 2.2%Quarterfinals: 9.3%Round of 16: 21.9%Knockout: 56.4%Group Stage Exit: 43.6%
Switzerland#12Winner: 2.3%Final: 5.6%Semifinals: 13.4%Quarterfinals: 37.9%Round of 16: 60.0%Knockout: 90.7%Group Stage Exit: 9.3%7:00 PMCanada#26Winner: 0.4%Final: 1.1%Semifinals: 3.4%Quarterfinals: 13.1%Round of 16: 27.9%Knockout: 63.2%Group Stage Exit: 36.8%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-06-13Qatar#31Winner: 0.3%Final: 0.8%Semifinals: 2.4%Quarterfinals: 10.1%Round of 16: 22.6%Knockout: 56.0%Group Stage Exit: 44.0%1 - 1Switzerland#12Winner: 2.3%Final: 5.6%Semifinals: 13.4%Quarterfinals: 37.9%Round of 16: 60.0%Knockout: 90.7%Group Stage Exit: 9.3%