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FIFA World Cup 2026·2026-07-07·Round 95

Argentina Secures Quarterfinal Spot; Egypt Eliminated from World Cup Contention

By Alberto Ibarra · · Round-up

Argentina's victory over Egypt on July 7 decisively shifted their championship trajectory, securing their place in the Quarterfinals with a probability increase from 47.9% to 100.0%. This win also boosted Argentina's overall standing, maintaining their second-place position with nine points and a goal difference of +7. Their path to the semifinals now stands at a promising 35.2%.

In contrast, Egypt's defeat has resulted in their mathematical elimination from the World Cup's final stages. Their chances for the Final plummeted from 2.6% to 0.0%, and their probability of reaching the Quarterfinals and Semifinals also dropped to zero. Despite their spirited performance, the loss has relegated them to a 24th position in the standings, highlighting a significant decline from their previous ninth place.

The match between Switzerland and Colombia ended in a goalless draw, leaving both teams' probabilities for advancement largely unchanged. Switzerland remains with a 16.7% chance for the semifinals, while Colombia holds a slightly higher probability at 22.0%. Both teams will be keenly observing the next round for opportunities to enhance their standing and potential to advance further in the tournament.

Looking ahead, the focus will be on whether Argentina can maintain their momentum into the semifinals and how Switzerland and Colombia will strategize to improve their advancement probabilities in the upcoming matches.

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