2. Bundesliga 26/27 — Round 1 of 34
Updated at
Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nürnberg#1Win: 27.0%Promo: 43.3%Playoff: 12.3% | 27.0% |
| 2 |  Energie Cottbus#2Win: 23.1%Promo: 40.6%Playoff: 13.0% | 23.1% |
| 3 |  Hertha BSC#3Win: 19.6%Promo: 37.4%Playoff: 14.0% | 19.6% |
| 4 |  Greuther Fürth#4Win: 5.7%Promo: 12.4%Playoff: 7.2%Releg: 2.9% | 5.7% |
| 5 |  St. Pauli#5Win: 3.8%Promo: 10.5%Playoff: 8.0%Releg: 3.5% | 3.8% |
| 6 |  VfL Wolfsburg#7Win: 3.7%Promo: 9.2%Playoff: 6.5%Releg: 5.9% | 3.7% |
| 7 |  Kaiserslautern#6Win: 3.1%Promo: 8.8%Playoff: 6.7%Releg: 5.6% | 3.1% |
| 8 |  Arminia Bielefeld#14Win: 1.7%Promo: 4.3%Playoff: 3.5%Releg: 13.8% | 1.7% |
| 9 |  Holstein Kiel#11Win: 1.5%Promo: 4.0%Playoff: 3.4%Releg: 14.2% | 1.5% |
| 10 |  Magdeburg#15Win: 1.5%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 3.2%Releg: 14.9% | 1.5% |
| 11 |  Eintracht Braunschweig#8Win: 1.4%Promo: 3.7%Playoff: 3.1%Releg: 15.2% | 1.4% |
| 12 |  FC Heidenheim#9Win: 1.4%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 3.3%Releg: 14.4% | 1.4% |
| 13 |  Karlsruher SC#10Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.5%Playoff: 3.2%Releg: 15.1% | 1.2% |
| 14 |  Osnabrück#13Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.4%Playoff: 3.0%Releg: 15.6% | 1.2% |
| 15 |  Darmstadt 98#12Win: 1.1%Promo: 3.3%Playoff: 3.2%Releg: 15.4% | 1.1% |
| 16 |  Bochum#16Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.8%Playoff: 2.2%Releg: 20.2% | 1.0% |
| 17 |  Hannover 96#17Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.7%Playoff: 2.0%Releg: 20.9% | 1.0% |
| 18 |  Dynamo Dresden#18Win: 0.9%Promo: 2.6%Playoff: 2.1%Releg: 22.3% | 0.9% |
Probability of being promoted to the first division
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nürnberg#1Win: 27.0%Promo: 43.3%Playoff: 12.3% | 43.3% |
| 2 | Energie Cottbus#2Win: 23.1%Promo: 40.6%Playoff: 13.0% | 40.6% |
| 3 | Hertha BSC#3Win: 19.6%Promo: 37.4%Playoff: 14.0% | 37.4% |
| 4 | Greuther Fürth#4Win: 5.7%Promo: 12.4%Playoff: 7.2%Releg: 2.9% | 12.4% |
| 5 | St. Pauli#5Win: 3.8%Promo: 10.5%Playoff: 8.0%Releg: 3.5% | 10.5% |
| 6 | VfL Wolfsburg#7Win: 3.7%Promo: 9.2%Playoff: 6.5%Releg: 5.9% | 9.2% |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern#6Win: 3.1%Promo: 8.8%Playoff: 6.7%Releg: 5.6% | 8.8% |
| 8 | Arminia Bielefeld#14Win: 1.7%Promo: 4.3%Playoff: 3.5%Releg: 13.8% | 4.3% |
| 9 | Holstein Kiel#11Win: 1.5%Promo: 4.0%Playoff: 3.4%Releg: 14.2% | 4.0% |
| 10 | FC Heidenheim#9Win: 1.4%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 3.3%Releg: 14.4% | 3.8% |
| 11 | Magdeburg#15Win: 1.5%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 3.2%Releg: 14.9% | 3.8% |
| 12 | Eintracht Braunschweig#8Win: 1.4%Promo: 3.7%Playoff: 3.1%Releg: 15.2% | 3.7% |
| 13 | Karlsruher SC#10Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.5%Playoff: 3.2%Releg: 15.1% | 3.5% |
| 14 | Osnabrück#13Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.4%Playoff: 3.0%Releg: 15.6% | 3.4% |
| 15 | Darmstadt 98#12Win: 1.1%Promo: 3.3%Playoff: 3.2%Releg: 15.4% | 3.3% |
| 16 | Bochum#16Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.8%Playoff: 2.2%Releg: 20.2% | 2.8% |
| 17 | Hannover 96#17Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.7%Playoff: 2.0%Releg: 20.9% | 2.7% |
| 18 | Dynamo Dresden#18Win: 0.9%Promo: 2.6%Playoff: 2.1%Releg: 22.3% | 2.6% |
Chances of participation in the playoff phase
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC#3Win: 19.6%Promo: 37.4%Playoff: 14.0% | 14.0% |
| 2 | Energie Cottbus#2Win: 23.1%Promo: 40.6%Playoff: 13.0% | 13.0% |
| 3 | Nürnberg#1Win: 27.0%Promo: 43.3%Playoff: 12.3% | 12.3% |
| 4 | St. Pauli#5Win: 3.8%Promo: 10.5%Playoff: 8.0%Releg: 3.5% | 8.0% |
| 5 | Greuther Fürth#4Win: 5.7%Promo: 12.4%Playoff: 7.2%Releg: 2.9% | 7.2% |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern#6Win: 3.1%Promo: 8.8%Playoff: 6.7%Releg: 5.6% | 6.7% |
| 7 | VfL Wolfsburg#7Win: 3.7%Promo: 9.2%Playoff: 6.5%Releg: 5.9% | 6.5% |
| 8 | Arminia Bielefeld#14Win: 1.7%Promo: 4.3%Playoff: 3.5%Releg: 13.8% | 3.5% |
| 9 | Holstein Kiel#11Win: 1.5%Promo: 4.0%Playoff: 3.4%Releg: 14.2% | 3.4% |
| 10 | FC Heidenheim#9Win: 1.4%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 3.3%Releg: 14.4% | 3.3% |
| 11 | Karlsruher SC#10Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.5%Playoff: 3.2%Releg: 15.1% | 3.2% |
| 12 | Darmstadt 98#12Win: 1.1%Promo: 3.3%Playoff: 3.2%Releg: 15.4% | 3.2% |
| 13 | Magdeburg#15Win: 1.5%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 3.2%Releg: 14.9% | 3.2% |
| 14 | Eintracht Braunschweig#8Win: 1.4%Promo: 3.7%Playoff: 3.1%Releg: 15.2% | 3.1% |
| 15 | Osnabrück#13Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.4%Playoff: 3.0%Releg: 15.6% | 3.0% |
| 16 | Bochum#16Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.8%Playoff: 2.2%Releg: 20.2% | 2.2% |
| 17 | Dynamo Dresden#18Win: 0.9%Promo: 2.6%Playoff: 2.1%Releg: 22.3% | 2.1% |
| 18 | Hannover 96#17Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.7%Playoff: 2.0%Releg: 20.9% | 2.0% |
Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo Dresden#18Win: 0.9%Promo: 2.6%Playoff: 2.1%Releg: 22.3% | 22.3% |
| 2 | Hannover 96#17Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.7%Playoff: 2.0%Releg: 20.9% | 20.9% |
| 3 | Bochum#16Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.8%Playoff: 2.2%Releg: 20.2% | 20.2% |
| 4 | Osnabrück#13Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.4%Playoff: 3.0%Releg: 15.6% | 15.6% |
| 5 | Darmstadt 98#12Win: 1.1%Promo: 3.3%Playoff: 3.2%Releg: 15.4% | 15.4% |
| 6 | Eintracht Braunschweig#8Win: 1.4%Promo: 3.7%Playoff: 3.1%Releg: 15.2% | 15.2% |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC#10Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.5%Playoff: 3.2%Releg: 15.1% | 15.1% |
| 8 | Magdeburg#15Win: 1.5%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 3.2%Releg: 14.9% | 14.9% |
| 9 | FC Heidenheim#9Win: 1.4%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 3.3%Releg: 14.4% | 14.4% |
| 10 | Holstein Kiel#11Win: 1.5%Promo: 4.0%Playoff: 3.4%Releg: 14.2% | 14.2% |
| 11 | Arminia Bielefeld#14Win: 1.7%Promo: 4.3%Playoff: 3.5%Releg: 13.8% | 13.8% |
| 12 | VfL Wolfsburg#7Win: 3.7%Promo: 9.2%Playoff: 6.5%Releg: 5.9% | 5.9% |
| 13 | Kaiserslautern#6Win: 3.1%Promo: 8.8%Playoff: 6.7%Releg: 5.6% | 5.6% |
| 14 | St. Pauli#5Win: 3.8%Promo: 10.5%Playoff: 8.0%Releg: 3.5% | 3.5% |
| 15 | Greuther Fürth#4Win: 5.7%Promo: 12.4%Playoff: 7.2%Releg: 2.9% | 2.9% |
Round 1 of 34 — Table
| # | Team | MP | P | Title | Promo | PO | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nürnberg#1Win: 27.0%Promo: 43.3%Playoff: 12.3% | 1 | 3 | 27% | 43% | 12% | — |
2 | Energie Cottbus#2Win: 23.1%Promo: 40.6%Playoff: 13.0% | 1 | 3 | 23% | 41% | 13% | — |
3 | Hertha BSC#3Win: 19.6%Promo: 37.4%Playoff: 14.0% | 1 | 3 | 20% | 37% | 14% | — |
4 | Greuther Fürth#4Win: 5.7%Promo: 12.4%Playoff: 7.2%Releg: 2.9% | 1 | 1 | 6% | 12% | 7% | 3% |
5 | St. Pauli#5Win: 3.8%Promo: 10.5%Playoff: 8.0%Releg: 3.5% | 1 | 1 | 4% | 11% | 8% | 4% |
6 | Kaiserslautern#6Win: 3.1%Promo: 8.8%Playoff: 6.7%Releg: 5.6% | 1 | 1 | 3% | 9% | 7% | 6% |
7 | VfL Wolfsburg#7Win: 3.7%Promo: 9.2%Playoff: 6.5%Releg: 5.9% | 1 | 1 | 4% | 9% | 7% | 6% |
8 | Eintracht Braunschweig#8Win: 1.4%Promo: 3.7%Playoff: 3.1%Releg: 15.2% | 0 | 0 | 1% | 4% | 3% | 15% |
9 | FC Heidenheim#9Win: 1.4%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 3.3%Releg: 14.4% | 0 | 0 | 1% | 4% | 3% | 14% |
10 | Karlsruher SC#10Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.5%Playoff: 3.2%Releg: 15.1% | 0 | 0 | 1% | 4% | 3% | 15% |
11 | Holstein Kiel#11Win: 1.5%Promo: 4.0%Playoff: 3.4%Releg: 14.2% | 0 | 0 | 2% | 4% | 3% | 14% |
12 | Darmstadt 98#12Win: 1.1%Promo: 3.3%Playoff: 3.2%Releg: 15.4% | 0 | 0 | 1% | 3% | 3% | 15% |
13 | Osnabrück#13Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.4%Playoff: 3.0%Releg: 15.6% | 0 | 0 | 1% | 3% | 3% | 16% |
14 | Arminia Bielefeld#14Win: 1.7%Promo: 4.3%Playoff: 3.5%Releg: 13.8% | 0 | 0 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% |
15 | Magdeburg#15Win: 1.5%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 3.2%Releg: 14.9% | 0 | 0 | 2% | 4% | 3% | 15% |
16 | Bochum#16Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.8%Playoff: 2.2%Releg: 20.2% | 1 | 0 | 1% | 3% | 2% | 20% |
17 | Hannover 96#17Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.7%Playoff: 2.0%Releg: 20.9% | 1 | 0 | 1% | 3% | 2% | 21% |
18 | Dynamo Dresden#18Win: 0.9%Promo: 2.6%Playoff: 2.1%Releg: 22.3% | 1 | 0 | 1% | 3% | 2% | 22% |
WinPromoPlayoffReleg
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Holstein Kiel#11Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 4.0%Playoff: 3.4%Relegation: 14.2%4:30 PMSt. Pauli#5Winner: 3.8%Promotion: 10.5%Playoff: 8.0%Relegation: 3.5%
4:30 PMSt. Pauli#5Winner: 3.8%Promotion: 10.5%Playoff: 8.0%Relegation: 3.5%Eintracht Braunschweig#8Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 3.7%Playoff: 3.1%Relegation: 15.2%4:30 PMBochum#16Winner: 1.0%Promotion: 2.8%Playoff: 2.2%Relegation: 20.2%
4:30 PMBochum#16Winner: 1.0%Promotion: 2.8%Playoff: 2.2%Relegation: 20.2%Hertha BSC#3Winner: 19.6%Promotion: 37.4%Playoff: 14.0%11:00 AMFC Heidenheim#9Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 3.8%Playoff: 3.3%Relegation: 14.4%
11:00 AMFC Heidenheim#9Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 3.8%Playoff: 3.3%Relegation: 14.4%Greuther Fürth#4Winner: 5.7%Promotion: 12.4%Playoff: 7.2%Relegation: 2.9%11:00 AMNürnberg#1Winner: 27.0%Promotion: 43.3%Playoff: 12.3%
11:00 AMNürnberg#1Winner: 27.0%Promotion: 43.3%Playoff: 12.3%Kaiserslautern#6Winner: 3.1%Promotion: 8.8%Playoff: 6.7%Relegation: 5.6%6:30 PMKarlsruher SC#10Winner: 1.2%Promotion: 3.5%Playoff: 3.2%Relegation: 15.1%
6:30 PMKarlsruher SC#10Winner: 1.2%Promotion: 3.5%Playoff: 3.2%Relegation: 15.1%Hannover 96#17Winner: 1.0%Promotion: 2.7%Playoff: 2.0%Relegation: 20.9%11:30 AMVfL Wolfsburg#7Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 9.2%Playoff: 6.5%Relegation: 5.9%
11:30 AMVfL Wolfsburg#7Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 9.2%Playoff: 6.5%Relegation: 5.9%Dynamo Dresden#18Winner: 0.9%Promotion: 2.6%Playoff: 2.1%Relegation: 22.3%11:30 AMDarmstadt 98#12Winner: 1.1%Promotion: 3.3%Playoff: 3.2%Relegation: 15.4%
11:30 AMDarmstadt 98#12Winner: 1.1%Promotion: 3.3%Playoff: 3.2%Relegation: 15.4%Arminia Bielefeld#14Winner: 1.7%Promotion: 4.3%Playoff: 3.5%Relegation: 13.8%11:30 AMEnergie Cottbus#2Winner: 23.1%Promotion: 40.6%Playoff: 13.0%
11:30 AMEnergie Cottbus#2Winner: 23.1%Promotion: 40.6%Playoff: 13.0%Eintracht Braunschweig#8Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 3.7%Playoff: 3.1%Relegation: 15.2%4:30 PMHertha BSC#3Winner: 19.6%Promotion: 37.4%Playoff: 14.0%
4:30 PMHertha BSC#3Winner: 19.6%Promotion: 37.4%Playoff: 14.0%2. Bundesliga 26/27 — Season Outlook
Win:
Promo:
Playoff:
2. Bundesliga 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the 2. Bundesliga 26/27?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Nürnberg currently have the highest title probability at 27%. With 33 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the 2. Bundesliga 26/27?
- Dynamo Dresden currently faces the highest relegation risk at 22%, followed by Hannover 96 at 21%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
- How does CupChances calculate 2. Bundesliga 26/27 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the 2. Bundesliga 26/27 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.