São Paulo Relegation Chances
Brasileirão 2026
São Paulo face long odds for relegation, with only a 3.0% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Libertadores | 0.5% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 3.0% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 64.8% |
| Relegation | 3.0% |
São Paulo are currently 10th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 28 matches played (10W 6D 12L, 36 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 3%, São Paulo are currently a long shot for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See São Paulo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, São Paulo's probability of relegation has dropped from 5.9% to 3%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often São Paulo achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Relegation odds for every team
| Flamengo | 0.0% |
| Palmeiras | 0.0% |
| Athletico-PR | 0.0% |
| Fluminense | 0.0% |
| Bahia | 0.0% |
| Cruzeiro | 0.0% |
| Atlético-MG | 0.0% |
| Santos | 0.0% |
| Coritiba | 1.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.