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Spezia Relegation Chances 2026 — 82.3%

Serie B 25/26 · Round 36 of 38 · Rank #20 · 36 MP

Spezia Serie B 25/26 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
82.3%
Relegation
#20
Position
LLLWL
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓

Live — Updated at

Spezia are 20th in the Serie B 25/26 2026 season after 36 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 82.3% chance of relegation — with 2 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Serie B 25/26 matches, Spezia have recorded 1 win, 4 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Serie B 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Spezia's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2025-09-27
  • Promotion: 0.0%Since 2025-10-05
  • Playoff: 0.0%Since 2026-03-21
  • Playout: 17.7%
  • Relegation: 82.3%

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%11:00 PMVenezia#1Winner: 86.9%Promotion: 98.3%Playoff: 1.7%
17%
61%
Pescara#17Playout: 38.0%Relegation: 60.3%11:00 PMSpezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%
48%
29%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-25Catanzaro#5Playoff: 99.9%4 - 2Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%
2026-04-18Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%6 - 1Sudtirol#13Playout: 6.6%
2026-04-12Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%0 - 2Mantova#11Playoff: 7.5%
2026-04-06Carrarese#10Playoff: 12.4%3 - 1Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%
2026-03-21Juve Stabia#7Playoff: 99.9%3 - 1Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%
2026-03-17Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%1 - 1Empoli#16Playout: 55.6%Relegation: 5.0%
2026-03-13Modena#6Playoff: 99.9%3 - 0Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%
2026-03-07Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%4 - 2Monza#2Winner: 5.9%Promotion: 42.2%Playoff: 57.8%
2026-03-03Padova#14Playout: 7.5%2 - 2Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%
2026-02-28Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%0 - 1Reggiana#19Playout: 25.8%Relegation: 73.8%
2026-02-21Cesena#9Playoff: 32.0%2 - 3Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%
2026-02-15Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%0 - 2Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%
2026-02-11Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1%0 - 0Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%
2026-02-07Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%1 - 1Virtus Entella#15Playout: 25.9%Relegation: 0.6%
2026-01-31Sampdoria#12Playoff: 0.1%Playout: 2.3%1 - 0Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%
2026-01-24Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%1 - 0Avellino#8Playoff: 48.0%
2026-01-18Palermo#4Playoff: 99.9%1 - 0Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%
2026-01-10Sudtirol#13Playout: 6.6%2 - 1Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%
2025-12-27Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%2 - 1Pescara#17Playout: 38.0%Relegation: 60.3%
2025-12-20Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%2 - 1Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%
2025-12-13Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%0 - 2Modena#6Playoff: 99.9%
2025-12-08Virtus Entella#15Playout: 25.9%Relegation: 0.6%0 - 1Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%
2025-11-30Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%1 - 0Sampdoria#12Playoff: 0.1%Playout: 2.3%
2025-11-23Mantova#11Playoff: 7.5%4 - 1Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%
2025-11-07Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%1 - 1Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1%
2025-11-02Monza#2Winner: 5.9%Promotion: 42.2%Playoff: 57.8%1 - 0Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%
2025-10-29Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%1 - 1Padova#14Playout: 7.5%
2025-10-25Avellino#8Playoff: 48.0%0 - 4Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%
2025-10-18Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%1 - 2Cesena#9Playoff: 32.0%
2025-10-04Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%1 - 2Palermo#4Playoff: 99.9%
2025-09-30Reggiana#19Playout: 25.8%Relegation: 73.8%1 - 1Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%
2025-09-27Venezia#1Winner: 86.9%Promotion: 98.3%Playoff: 1.7%2 - 0Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%
2025-09-20Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%1 - 3Juve Stabia#7Playoff: 99.9%
2025-09-14Empoli#16Playout: 55.6%Relegation: 5.0%1 - 1Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%
2025-08-30Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%0 - 0Catanzaro#5Playoff: 99.9%
2025-08-24Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%0 - 2Carrarese#10Playoff: 12.4%