Bundesliga Title Race 2026
Bundesliga 2025/26
Every Bundesliga team ranked by their live title probability — our supercomputer runs up to millions of simulations updated live every 10 minutes during every match.
Title Race — Live Probabilities
| # | Team | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 100.0% |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 0.0% |
| 3 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | 0.0% |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0.0% |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 0.0% |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 0.0% |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 0.0% |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.0% |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 0.0% |
| 10 | FSV Mainz | 0.0% |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 0.0% |
| 12 | Union Berlin | 0.0% |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0.0% |
| 14 | FC Köln | 0.0% |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 0.0% |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 0.0% |
| 17 | St. Pauli | 0.0% |
| 18 | FC Heidenheim | 0.0% |
Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 33
About This Race
The Bundesliga title race is simulated in real time, accounting for every team's current form, remaining schedule, and goal difference.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out every remaining fixture and counts how often each team ends up in the title places. The percentages shown reflect those simulated outcomes, updated live every 10 minutes during every match.
View full Bundesliga 2025/26 table →
Full standings, match results, and all team probability charts.