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VfL Wolfsburg Relegation Chances 202657.9%

Bundesliga 25/26 · Round 31 of 34 · Rank #17 · 31 MP

VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga 25/26 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
57.9%
Relegation
#17
Position
LLLWD
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓

Live Updated at

VfL Wolfsburg are 17th in the Bundesliga 25/26 2026 season after 31 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 57.9% chance of relegation — with 3 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Bundesliga 25/26 matches, VfL Wolfsburg have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Bundesliga 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how VfL Wolfsburg's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2025-10-18
  • Champions League: 0.0%Since 2026-01-24
  • Europa League: 0.0%Since 2026-01-25
  • Conference League: 0.0%Since 2026-02-07
  • Relegation: 57.9%

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

SC Freiburg#83:00 PMVfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%
60%
20%
VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%3:00 PMBayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0%
6%
84%
St. Pauli#16Relegation: 44.5%3:00 PMVfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%
36%
40%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-25VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%0 - 0Borussia Mönchengladbach#11
2026-04-18Union Berlin#121 - 2VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%
2026-04-11VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%1 - 2Eintracht Frankfurt#7
2026-04-04Bayer Leverkusen#6Champions League: 16.5%Europa League: 28.5%Conference League: 55.0%6 - 3VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%
2026-03-21VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%0 - 1SV Werder Bremen#15
2026-03-14Hoffenheim#4Champions League: 37.6%Europa League: 38.9%Conference League: 23.5%1 - 1VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%
2026-03-07VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%1 - 2Hamburger SV#14Relegation: 0.1%
2026-03-01VfB Stuttgart#5Champions League: 52.8%Europa League: 26.9%Conference League: 20.3%4 - 0VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%
2026-02-21VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%2 - 3FC Augsburg#9
2026-02-15RasenBallsport Leipzig#3Champions League: 93.1%Europa League: 5.8%Conference League: 1.1%2 - 2VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%
2026-02-07VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%1 - 2Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9%
2026-01-30FC Köln#13Relegation: 0.1%1 - 0VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%
2026-01-24FSV Mainz#103 - 1VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%
2026-01-17VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%1 - 1FC Heidenheim#18Relegation: 97.5%
2026-01-14VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%2 - 1St. Pauli#16Relegation: 44.5%
2026-01-11Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0%8 - 1VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%
2025-12-20VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%3 - 4SC Freiburg#8
2025-12-13Borussia Mönchengladbach#111 - 3VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%
2025-12-06VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%3 - 1Union Berlin#12
2025-11-30Eintracht Frankfurt#71 - 1VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%
2025-11-22VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%1 - 3Bayer Leverkusen#6Champions League: 16.5%Europa League: 28.5%Conference League: 55.0%
2025-11-07SV Werder Bremen#152 - 1VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%
2025-11-02VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%2 - 3Hoffenheim#4Champions League: 37.6%Europa League: 38.9%Conference League: 23.5%
2025-10-25Hamburger SV#14Relegation: 0.1%0 - 1VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%
2025-10-18VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%0 - 3VfB Stuttgart#5Champions League: 52.8%Europa League: 26.9%Conference League: 20.3%
2025-10-04FC Augsburg#93 - 1VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%
2025-09-27VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%0 - 1RasenBallsport Leipzig#3Champions League: 93.1%Europa League: 5.8%Conference League: 1.1%
2025-09-21Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9%1 - 0VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%
2025-09-13VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%3 - 3FC Köln#13Relegation: 0.1%
2025-08-31VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%1 - 1FSV Mainz#10
2025-08-23FC Heidenheim#18Relegation: 97.5%1 - 3VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9%