Bayern München
Bayern München Winner Chances 2026 — 100.0%
Bundesliga 25/26 · Round 31 of 34 · Rank #1 · 31 MP
Bayern München Bundesliga 25/26 — Key Insights
100.0%
Winner
0.0%
Relegation
#1
Position
WWWWW
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓
Live — Updated at
Bayern München are 1st in the Bundesliga 25/26 2026 season after 31 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of winner — with 3 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Bundesliga 25/26 matches, Bayern München have recorded 5 wins. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Bundesliga 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Bayern München's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 100.0%Since 2026-04-19
- Champions League: 100.0%Since 2026-04-19
- Europa League: 0.0%Since 2026-02-08
- Conference League: 0.0%Since 2025-12-21
- Relegation: 0.0%Since 2025-09-20
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
90%
3%
6%
84%
90%
3%
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | FSV Mainz#10 | 3 - 4 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-04-19 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 4 - 2 |  VfB Stuttgart#5Champions League: 52.8%Europa League: 26.9%Conference League: 20.3% |
| 2026-04-11 | St. Pauli#16Relegation: 44.5% | 0 - 5 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-04-04 | SC Freiburg#8 | 2 - 3 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-03-21 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 4 - 0 |  Union Berlin#12 |
| 2026-03-14 | Bayer Leverkusen#6Champions League: 16.5%Europa League: 28.5%Conference League: 55.0% | 1 - 1 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-03-06 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 4 - 1 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach#11 |
| 2026-02-28 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% | 2 - 3 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-02-21 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 2 |  Eintracht Frankfurt#7 |
| 2026-02-14 | SV Werder Bremen#15 | 0 - 3 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-02-08 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 5 - 1 |  Hoffenheim#4Champions League: 37.6%Europa League: 38.9%Conference League: 23.5% |
| 2026-01-31 | Hamburger SV#14Relegation: 0.1% | 2 - 2 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-01-24 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 1 - 2 |  FC Augsburg#9 |
| 2026-01-17 | RasenBallsport Leipzig#3Champions League: 93.1%Europa League: 5.8%Conference League: 1.1% | 1 - 5 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-01-14 | FC Köln#13Relegation: 0.1% | 1 - 3 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-01-11 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 8 - 1 |  VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9% |
| 2025-12-21 | FC Heidenheim#18Relegation: 97.5% | 0 - 4 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-12-14 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 2 | FSV Mainz#10 |
| 2025-12-06 | VfB Stuttgart#5Champions League: 52.8%Europa League: 26.9%Conference League: 20.3% | 0 - 5 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-11-29 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 1 | St. Pauli#16Relegation: 44.5% |
| 2025-11-22 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 6 - 2 | SC Freiburg#8 |
| 2025-11-08 | Union Berlin#12 | 2 - 2 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-11-01 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 0 | Bayer Leverkusen#6Champions League: 16.5%Europa League: 28.5%Conference League: 55.0% |
| 2025-10-25 | Borussia Mönchengladbach#11 | 0 - 3 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-10-18 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 1 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-10-04 | Eintracht Frankfurt#7 | 0 - 3 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-09-26 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 4 - 0 | SV Werder Bremen#15 |
| 2025-09-20 | Hoffenheim#4Champions League: 37.6%Europa League: 38.9%Conference League: 23.5% | 1 - 4 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-09-13 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 5 - 0 | Hamburger SV#14Relegation: 0.1% |
| 2025-08-30 | FC Augsburg#9 | 2 - 3 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-08-22 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 6 - 0 | RasenBallsport Leipzig#3Champions League: 93.1%Europa League: 5.8%Conference League: 1.1% |