Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund Champions League Chances 2026 — 99.9%
Bundesliga 25/26 · Round 31 of 34 · Rank #2 · 30 MP
Live — Updated at
Borussia Dortmund are 2nd in the Bundesliga 25/26 2026 season after 30 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 99.9% chance of champions league — with 3 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Bundesliga 25/26 matches, Borussia Dortmund have recorded 3 wins, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Bundesliga 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Borussia Dortmund's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-04-11
- Champions League: 99.9%
- Europa League: 0.0%Since 2026-03-21
- Conference League: 0.0%Since 2026-03-14
- Relegation: 0.0%Since 2025-10-25
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Hoffenheim#4Champions League: 37.6%Europa League: 38.9%Conference League: 23.5% | 2 - 1 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-04-11 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% | 0 - 1 |  Bayer Leverkusen#6Champions League: 16.5%Europa League: 28.5%Conference League: 55.0% |
| 2026-04-04 | VfB Stuttgart#5Champions League: 52.8%Europa League: 26.9%Conference League: 20.3% | 0 - 2 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-03-21 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% | 3 - 2 |  Hamburger SV#14Relegation: 0.1% |
| 2026-03-14 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% | 2 - 0 |  FC Augsburg#9 |
| 2026-03-07 | FC Köln#13Relegation: 0.1% | 1 - 2 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-02-28 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% | 2 - 3 |  Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-02-21 | RasenBallsport Leipzig#3Champions League: 93.1%Europa League: 5.8%Conference League: 1.1% | 2 - 2 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-02-13 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% | 4 - 0 |  FSV Mainz#10 |
| 2026-02-07 | VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9% | 1 - 2 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-02-01 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% | 3 - 2 |  FC Heidenheim#18Relegation: 97.5% |
| 2026-01-24 | Union Berlin#12 | 0 - 3 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-01-17 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% | 3 - 2 |  St. Pauli#16Relegation: 44.5% |
| 2026-01-13 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% | 3 - 0 |  SV Werder Bremen#15 |
| 2026-01-09 | Eintracht Frankfurt#7 | 3 - 3 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-12-19 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% | 2 - 0 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach#11 |
| 2025-12-14 | SC Freiburg#8 | 1 - 1 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-12-07 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% | 2 - 0 | Hoffenheim#4Champions League: 37.6%Europa League: 38.9%Conference League: 23.5% |
| 2025-11-29 | Bayer Leverkusen#6Champions League: 16.5%Europa League: 28.5%Conference League: 55.0% | 1 - 2 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-11-22 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% | 3 - 3 | VfB Stuttgart#5Champions League: 52.8%Europa League: 26.9%Conference League: 20.3% |
| 2025-11-08 | Hamburger SV#14Relegation: 0.1% | 1 - 1 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-10-31 | FC Augsburg#9 | 0 - 1 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-10-25 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% | 1 - 0 | FC Köln#13Relegation: 0.1% |
| 2025-10-18 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 1 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-10-04 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% | 1 - 1 | RasenBallsport Leipzig#3Champions League: 93.1%Europa League: 5.8%Conference League: 1.1% |
| 2025-09-27 | FSV Mainz#10 | 0 - 2 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-09-21 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% | 1 - 0 | VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9% |
| 2025-09-13 | FC Heidenheim#18Relegation: 97.5% | 0 - 2 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-08-31 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% | 3 - 0 | Union Berlin#12 |
| 2025-08-23 | St. Pauli#16Relegation: 44.5% | 3 - 3 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% |