Bundesliga 25/26 — Round 31 of 34
Updated at
Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 100.0% |
Probability of qualifying for the Champions League
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% | 99.9% |
| 3 |  RasenBallsport Leipzig#3Champions League: 93.1%Europa League: 5.8%Conference League: 1.1% | 93.1% |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart#5Champions League: 52.8%Europa League: 26.9%Conference League: 20.3% | 52.8% |
| 5 |  Hoffenheim#4Champions League: 37.6%Europa League: 38.9%Conference League: 23.5% | 37.6% |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen#6Champions League: 16.5%Europa League: 28.5%Conference League: 55.0% | 16.5% |
Probability of qualifying for the Europa League
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hoffenheim#4Champions League: 37.6%Europa League: 38.9%Conference League: 23.5% | 38.9% |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen#6Champions League: 16.5%Europa League: 28.5%Conference League: 55.0% | 28.5% |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart#5Champions League: 52.8%Europa League: 26.9%Conference League: 20.3% | 26.9% |
| 4 | RasenBallsport Leipzig#3Champions League: 93.1%Europa League: 5.8%Conference League: 1.1% | 5.8% |
Probability of qualifying for the Conference League
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen#6Champions League: 16.5%Europa League: 28.5%Conference League: 55.0% | 55.0% |
| 2 | Hoffenheim#4Champions League: 37.6%Europa League: 38.9%Conference League: 23.5% | 23.5% |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart#5Champions League: 52.8%Europa League: 26.9%Conference League: 20.3% | 20.3% |
| 4 | RasenBallsport Leipzig#3Champions League: 93.1%Europa League: 5.8%Conference League: 1.1% | 1.1% |
Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Heidenheim#18Relegation: 97.5% | 97.5% |
| 2 |  VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9% | 57.9% |
| 3 |  St. Pauli#16Relegation: 44.5% | 44.5% |
| 4 |  FC Köln#13Relegation: 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 5 |  Hamburger SV#14Relegation: 0.1% | 0.1% |
Round 31 of 34
Standings
| # | Team | MP | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 31 | 82 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 113 | 32 | 81 |
2 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 99.9% | 30 | 64 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 61 | 31 | 30 |
3 | RasenBallsport Leipzig#3Champions League: 93.1%Europa League: 5.8%Conference League: 1.1% | 30 | 59 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 59 | 37 | 22 |
4↑1 | Hoffenheim#4Champions League: 37.6%Europa League: 38.9%Conference League: 23.5% | 31 | 57 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 61 | 45 | 16 |
5↓1 | VfB Stuttgart#5Champions League: 52.8%Europa League: 26.9%Conference League: 20.3% | 30 | 56 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 62 | 42 | 20 |
6 | Bayer Leverkusen#6Champions League: 16.5%Europa League: 28.5%Conference League: 55.0% | 31 | 55 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 62 | 42 | 20 |
7↑1 |  Eintracht Frankfurt#7 | 31 | 43 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 58 | -2 |
8↓1 |  SC Freiburg#8 | 30 | 43 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 44 | 48 | -4 |
9 |  FC Augsburg#9 | 31 | 37 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 |
10 |  FSV Mainz#10 | 31 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 |
11↑2 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach#11 | 31 | 32 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 |
12↓1 |  Union Berlin#12 | 30 | 32 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 52 | -18 |
13↓1 | FC Köln#13Relegation: 0.1% | 31 | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 53 | -8 |
14 | Hamburger SV#14Relegation: 0.1% | 31 | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 50 | -16 |
15 |  SV Werder Bremen#15 | 30 | 31 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 |
16 | St. Pauli#16Relegation: 44.5% | 31 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 53 | -27 |
17 | VfL Wolfsburg#17Relegation: 57.9% | 31 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 41 | 66 | -25 |
18 | FC Heidenheim#18Relegation: 97.5% | 31 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 66 | -31 |
WinnerChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Bayer Leverkusen#6Champions League: 16.5%Europa League: 28.5%Conference League: 55.0%3:00 PMRasenBallsport Leipzig#3Champions League: 93.1%Europa League: 5.8%Conference League: 1.1%
3:00 PMRasenBallsport Leipzig#3Champions League: 93.1%Europa League: 5.8%Conference League: 1.1%46%
30%
59%
19%
60%
20%
90%
3%
38%
37%
Hoffenheim#4Champions League: 37.6%Europa League: 38.9%Conference League: 23.5%3:00 PMVfB Stuttgart#5Champions League: 52.8%Europa League: 26.9%Conference League: 20.3%
3:00 PMVfB Stuttgart#5Champions League: 52.8%Europa League: 26.9%Conference League: 20.3%60%
19%
27%
51%
42%
33%
47%
27%
Bundesliga 25/26 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the Bundesliga 25/26?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Bayern München currently have the highest title probability at 100%. With 3 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Bundesliga 25/26?
- FC Heidenheim currently faces the highest relegation risk at 98%, followed by VfL Wolfsburg at 58%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
- How does CupChances calculate Bundesliga 25/26 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the Bundesliga 25/26 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.