Bundesliga 25/26 — Round 34 of 34
Updated at
Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 100.0% |
Probability of qualifying for the Champions League
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 3 |  RasenBallsport Leipzig#3Champions League: 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart#4Champions League: 100.0% | 100.0% |
Probability of qualifying for the Europa League
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hoffenheim#5Europa League: 100.0% | 100.0% |
Probability of qualifying for the Conference League
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayer Leverkusen#6Conference League: 100.0% | 100.0% |
Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Heidenheim#17Relegation: 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 2 |  St. Pauli#18Relegation: 100.0% | 100.0% |
Round 34 of 34
Standings
| # | Team | MP | P | Title | UCL | UEL | ECL | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bayern München#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 34 | 89 | 100% | 100% | — | — | — |
2 | Borussia Dortmund#2Champions League: 100.0% | 34 | 73 | — | 100% | — | — | — |
3 | RasenBallsport Leipzig#3Champions League: 100.0% | 34 | 65 | — | 100% | — | — | — |
4↑2 | VfB Stuttgart#4Champions League: 100.0% | 34 | 62 | — | 100% | — | — | — |
5 | Hoffenheim#5Europa League: 100.0% | 34 | 61 | — | — | 100% | — | — |
6↓2 | Bayer Leverkusen#6Conference League: 100.0% | 34 | 59 | — | — | — | 100% | — |
7 |  SC Freiburg#7 | 34 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — |
8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt#8 | 34 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — |
9 |  FC Augsburg#9 | 34 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — |
10 |  FSV Mainz#10 | 34 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — |
11↑1 |  Union Berlin#11 | 34 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — |
12↑1 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach#12 | 34 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — |
13↓2 |  Hamburger SV#13 | 34 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — |
14 |  FC Köln#14 | 34 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — |
15 |  SV Werder Bremen#15 | 34 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — |
16 |  VfL Wolfsburg#16 | 34 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — |
17↑1 | FC Heidenheim#17Relegation: 100.0% | 34 | 26 | — | — | — | — | 100% |
18↓1 | St. Pauli#18Relegation: 100.0% | 34 | 26 | — | — | — | — | 100% |
WinnerChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation
After Round 34: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?
- ↑Bayer Leverkusen have mathematically secured Conference League.
- ↑Hoffenheim have mathematically secured Europa League.
- ↑VfB Stuttgart have mathematically secured Champions League.
- ↓VfL Wolfsburg have been mathematically eliminated from Relegation.
- ↑St. Pauli have mathematically secured Relegation.
Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation
Bundesliga 25/26 — Season Outlook
Champions League:
Europa League:
Conference League:
Bundesliga 25/26 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the Bundesliga 25/26?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Bayern München currently have the highest title probability at 100%. With 0 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Bundesliga 25/26?
- FC Heidenheim currently faces the highest relegation risk at 100%, followed by St. Pauli at 100%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
- How does CupChances calculate Bundesliga 25/26 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the Bundesliga 25/26 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.