Fortaleza Relegation Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Fortaleza face long odds for relegation, with only a 4.8% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 5.5% |
| Promotion | 26.8% |
| Relegation | 4.8% |
Fortaleza are currently 7th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 14 matches played (6W 4D 4L, 22 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 4.8%, Fortaleza are currently a long shot for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Fortaleza's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Fortaleza achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Relegation odds for every team
| Vila Nova | 0.4% |
| São Bernardo | 1.5% |
| Sport | 1.8% |
| Novorizontino | 2.6% |
| Criciúma | 2.6% |
| Operário-PR | 5.0% |
| Juventude | 4.8% |
| Náutico | 8.7% |
| Cuiabá | 13.1% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.