São Bernardo
São Bernardo Promo Chances 2026 — 2.9%
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 29 of 38 · Rank #11 · 29 MP
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São Bernardo are 11th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 29 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 2.9% chance of promo — with 9 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, São Bernardo have recorded 3 wins, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their promo probability, São Bernardo's win chance currently stands at 0.1%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how São Bernardo's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 0.1%
- Promo: 2.9%
- Releg: 0.3%
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Competition Races:
More analysis
← View all Brasileiro 2026, Serie B standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
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Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% | 1 - 0 |  Atlético-GO#6Win: 2.4%Promo: 21.5% |
| 2026-09-14 | América-MG#19Releg: 100.0% | 0 - 2 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% |
| 2026-09-10 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% | 1 - 2 |  Londrina#18Releg: 78.4% |
| 2026-09-06 | Ponte Preta#20Releg: 100.0% | 0 - 2 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% |
| 2026-08-28 | Goiás#10Win: 0.2%Promo: 4.9%Releg: 0.1% | 2 - 1 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% |
| 2026-08-23 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% | 1 - 1 |  Náutico#14Promo: 1.3%Releg: 1.7% |
| 2026-08-19 | Fortaleza#2Win: 21.9%Promo: 70.7% | 1 - 1 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% |
| 2026-08-14 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% | 0 - 1 |  Botafogo-SP#16Releg: 40.7% |
| 2026-08-07 | Operário-PR#8Win: 2.1%Promo: 19.0% | 1 - 3 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% |
| 2026-07-26 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% | 3 - 4 |  Ceará#15Releg: 15.2% |
| 2026-07-23 | Athletic Club#12Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.0%Releg: 0.5% | 2 - 1 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% |
| 2026-07-17 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% | 1 - 1 |  Avaí#17Releg: 62.4% |
| 2026-07-12 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% | 2 - 2 |  Cuiabá#13Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.8%Releg: 0.6% |
| 2026-07-06 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.3%Promo: 75.2% | 2 - 1 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% |
| 2026-06-27 | Criciúma#5Win: 8.1%Promo: 43.2% | 1 - 0 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% |
| 2026-06-21 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% | 0 - 1 |  Juventude#3Win: 16.8%Promo: 64.6% |
| 2026-06-14 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% | 0 - 0 |  Sport#9Win: 0.6%Promo: 9.8% |
| 2026-06-07 | CRB#7Win: 1.6%Promo: 17.1% | 2 - 3 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% |
| 2026-05-31 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% | 1 - 1 |  Novorizontino#4Win: 18.5%Promo: 64.9% |
| 2026-05-24 | Atlético-GO#6Win: 2.4%Promo: 21.5% | 0 - 1 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% |
| 2026-05-16 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% | 1 - 1 | América-MG#19Releg: 100.0% |
| 2026-05-12 | Londrina#18Releg: 78.4% | 1 - 3 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% |
| 2026-05-03 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% | 3 - 0 | Ponte Preta#20Releg: 100.0% |
| 2026-04-26 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% | 1 - 0 | Goiás#10Win: 0.2%Promo: 4.9%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-04-18 | Náutico#14Promo: 1.3%Releg: 1.7% | 0 - 3 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% |
| 2026-04-12 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% | 0 - 1 | Fortaleza#2Win: 21.9%Promo: 70.7% |
| 2026-04-05 | Botafogo-SP#16Releg: 40.7% | 1 - 2 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% |
| 2026-04-02 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% | 1 - 2 | Operário-PR#8Win: 2.1%Promo: 19.0% |
| 2026-03-21 | Ceará#15Releg: 15.2% | 1 - 1 | São Bernardo#11Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% |