São Bernardo
São Bernardo Promotion Chances 2026 — 27.6%
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 6 of 38 · Rank #3 · 6 MP
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São Bernardo are 3rd in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 6 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 27.6% chance of promotion — with 32 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, São Bernardo have recorded 3 wins, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their promotion probability, São Bernardo's winner chance currently stands at 7.4%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how São Bernardo's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 7.4%
- Promotion: 27.6%
- Relegation: 11.4%
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
3:00 PM
Ponte Preta#14Winner: 3.2%Promotion: 15.2%Relegation: 22.3%
3:00 PMSão Bernardo#3Winner: 7.4%Promotion: 27.6%Relegation: 11.4%3:00 PM
América-MG#20Winner: 0.7%Promotion: 4.5%Relegation: 48.7%
3:00 PMSão Bernardo#3Winner: 7.4%Promotion: 27.6%Relegation: 11.4%3:00 PM
Novorizontino#9Winner: 4.3%Promotion: 18.7%Relegation: 18.3%Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | São Bernardo#3Winner: 7.4%Promotion: 27.6%Relegation: 11.4% | 1 - 0 |  Goiás#15Winner: 3.2%Promotion: 15.2%Relegation: 22.4% |
| 2026-04-18 | Náutico#17Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 16.8%Relegation: 21.1% | 0 - 3 | São Bernardo#3Winner: 7.4%Promotion: 27.6%Relegation: 11.4% |
| 2026-04-12 | São Bernardo#3Winner: 7.4%Promotion: 27.6%Relegation: 11.4% | 0 - 1 |  Fortaleza#2Winner: 8.8%Promotion: 30.9%Relegation: 9.6% |
| 2026-04-05 | Botafogo-SP#10Winner: 4.4%Promotion: 19.1%Relegation: 18.0% | 1 - 2 | São Bernardo#3Winner: 7.4%Promotion: 27.6%Relegation: 11.4% |
| 2026-04-02 | São Bernardo#3Winner: 7.4%Promotion: 27.6%Relegation: 11.4% | 1 - 2 |  Operário-PR#8Winner: 5.3%Promotion: 21.9%Relegation: 15.3% |
| 2026-03-21 | Ceará#6Winner: 6.9%Promotion: 26.1%Relegation: 12.2% | 1 - 1 | São Bernardo#3Winner: 7.4%Promotion: 27.6%Relegation: 11.4% |