São Bernardo
São Bernardo Promotion Chances 2026 — 54.6%
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 13 of 38 · Rank #1 · 13 MP
Live — Updated at
São Bernardo are 1st in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 13 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 54.6% chance of promotion — with 25 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, São Bernardo have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their promotion probability, São Bernardo's winner chance currently stands at 19.4%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how São Bernardo's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 19.4%
- Promotion: 54.6%
- Relegation: 1.0%
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Competition Races:
← View all Brasileiro 2026, Serie B standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
8:00 PM
Juventude#9Winner: 3.8%Promotion: 20.1%Relegation: 8.4%
7:00 PMSão Bernardo#1Winner: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relegation: 1.0%
10:00 PMSão Bernardo#1Winner: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relegation: 1.0%7:00 PM
Cuiabá#10Winner: 3.3%Promotion: 18.4%Relegation: 9.4%10:00 PM
Avaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | São Bernardo#1Winner: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relegation: 1.0% | 0 - 0 |  Sport#3Winner: 14.2%Promotion: 46.7%Relegation: 1.6% |
| 2026-06-07 | CRB#15Winner: 1.0%Promotion: 7.5%Relegation: 23.0% | 2 - 3 | São Bernardo#1Winner: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relegation: 1.0% |
| 2026-05-31 | São Bernardo#1Winner: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relegation: 1.0% | 1 - 1 |  Novorizontino#5Winner: 6.5%Promotion: 28.9%Relegation: 4.8% |
| 2026-05-24 | Atlético-GO#13Winner: 1.9%Promotion: 12.0%Relegation: 15.1% | 0 - 1 | São Bernardo#1Winner: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relegation: 1.0% |
| 2026-05-16 | São Bernardo#1Winner: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relegation: 1.0% | 1 - 1 |  América-MG#20Promotion: 0.3%Relegation: 76.2% |
| 2026-05-12 | Londrina#17Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 2.2%Relegation: 46.2% | 1 - 3 | São Bernardo#1Winner: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relegation: 1.0% |
| 2026-05-03 | São Bernardo#1Winner: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relegation: 1.0% | 3 - 0 |  Ponte Preta#19Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 0.7%Relegation: 65.3% |
| 2026-04-26 | São Bernardo#1Winner: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relegation: 1.0% | 1 - 0 |  Goiás#12Winner: 2.7%Promotion: 15.9%Relegation: 11.3% |
| 2026-04-18 | Náutico#7Winner: 5.4%Promotion: 25.4%Relegation: 5.9% | 0 - 3 | São Bernardo#1Winner: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relegation: 1.0% |
| 2026-04-12 | São Bernardo#1Winner: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relegation: 1.0% | 0 - 1 |  Fortaleza#4Winner: 6.9%Promotion: 29.9%Relegation: 4.4% |
| 2026-04-05 | Botafogo-SP#16Winner: 0.4%Promotion: 4.0%Relegation: 34.4% | 1 - 2 | São Bernardo#1Winner: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relegation: 1.0% |
| 2026-04-02 | São Bernardo#1Winner: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relegation: 1.0% | 1 - 2 |  Operário-PR#8Winner: 3.6%Promotion: 19.3%Relegation: 8.9% |
| 2026-03-21 | Ceará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2% | 1 - 1 | São Bernardo#1Winner: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relegation: 1.0% |