São Bernardo
São Bernardo Promotion Chances 2026 — 12.5%
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 21 of 38 · Rank #11 · 21 MP
Live — Updated at
São Bernardo are 11th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 21 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 12.5% chance of promotion — with 17 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, São Bernardo have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their promotion probability, São Bernardo's winner chance currently stands at 1.4%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how São Bernardo's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 1.4%
- Promotion: 12.5%
- Relegation: 4.2%
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Competition Races:
← View all Brasileiro 2026, Serie B standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
10:30 PM
Botafogo-SP#13Winner: 0.4%Promotion: 4.6%Relegation: 12.6%
10:30 PMSão Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2%7:00 PM
Náutico#14Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 3.1%Relegation: 16.7%
3:00 PMSão Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2%Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Operário-PR#4Winner: 8.8%Promotion: 40.7%Relegation: 0.3% | 1 - 3 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% |
| 2026-07-26 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% | 3 - 4 |  Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.9%Relegation: 23.8% |
| 2026-07-23 | Athletic Club#10Winner: 1.7%Promotion: 14.5%Relegation: 3.4% | 2 - 1 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% |
| 2026-07-17 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% | 1 - 1 |  Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 50.6% |
| 2026-07-12 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% | 2 - 2 |  Cuiabá#15Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 2.5%Relegation: 19.9% |
| 2026-07-06 | Vila Nova#5Winner: 6.8%Promotion: 34.8%Relegation: 0.6% | 2 - 1 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% |
| 2026-06-27 | Criciúma#1Winner: 34.1%Promotion: 76.4% | 1 - 0 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% |
| 2026-06-21 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% | 0 - 1 |  Juventude#2Winner: 22.4%Promotion: 65.1% |
| 2026-06-14 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% | 0 - 0 |  Sport#9Winner: 2.6%Promotion: 19.0%Relegation: 2.2% |
| 2026-06-07 | CRB#12Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 13.9%Relegation: 4.2% | 2 - 3 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% |
| 2026-05-31 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% | 1 - 1 |  Novorizontino#6Winner: 4.8%Promotion: 27.9%Relegation: 1.1% |
| 2026-05-24 | Atlético-GO#8Winner: 2.7%Promotion: 19.8%Relegation: 2.0% | 0 - 1 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% |
| 2026-05-16 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% | 1 - 1 |  América-MG#19Relegation: 97.2% |
| 2026-05-12 | Londrina#17Promotion: 0.2%Relegation: 60.3% | 1 - 3 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% |
| 2026-05-03 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% | 3 - 0 |  Ponte Preta#20Relegation: 98.7% |
| 2026-04-26 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% | 1 - 0 | Goiás#7Winner: 3.1%Promotion: 21.0%Relegation: 1.8% |
| 2026-04-18 | Náutico#14Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 3.1%Relegation: 16.7% | 0 - 3 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% |
| 2026-04-12 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% | 0 - 1 | Fortaleza#3Winner: 9.1%Promotion: 41.6%Relegation: 0.3% |
| 2026-04-05 | Botafogo-SP#13Winner: 0.4%Promotion: 4.6%Relegation: 12.6% | 1 - 2 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% |
| 2026-04-02 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% | 1 - 2 | Operário-PR#4Winner: 8.8%Promotion: 40.7%Relegation: 0.3% |
| 2026-03-21 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.9%Relegation: 23.8% | 1 - 1 | São Bernardo#11Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 12.5%Relegation: 4.2% |