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Brasileiro 2026, Serie B·2026-09-18·Round 29

Vila Nova Soars to the Top While Novorizontino Stumbles

By Lorena Laís Mota · · Round-up

Vila Nova Soars to the Top While Novorizontino Stumbles

In an exciting twist of events during Round 29 of the Brasileiro Serie B, Vila Nova's narrow 1-0 victory over América-MG has propelled them to first place in the standings. This win has significantly boosted their promotion prospects, with a 17.2% increase, now sitting at a robust 75.2%. Additionally, their chances of winning the league have climbed to 26.5%, marking a positive stride for the team as they edge closer to a return to the top flight.

In contrast, Novorizontino's 2-1 defeat at the hands of Ceará has caused a drop in their promotion probability, now at 65.1%, and their chances of winning the league have declined to 17.9%. This setback saw Novorizontino slip from first to third place, adding pressure as they aim to secure a top-two finish. Ceará, meanwhile, celebrated a much-needed victory that reduced their relegation likelihood by 13%, down to 20.1%, giving them breathing room in the battle for survival.

São Bernardo also had reason to celebrate, as their 1-0 win against Atlético-GO ensured their safety from relegation, with their probability dropping to a mere 0.5%. This result, however, dampened Atlético-GO’s promotion hopes, seeing a decline to 21.9% and their title chances slipping further to 2.1%.

As the league progresses, all eyes will be on Novorizontino to see if they can recover from their recent slip, while Vila Nova will look to maintain their momentum at the top of the table.

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