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Brasileiro 2026, Serie B·2026-09-06·Round 26

Operário-PR and São Bernardo Boost Promotion Hopes

By Alberto Ibarra · · Round-up

Operário-PR and São Bernardo Boost Promotion Hopes

Operário-PR's recent victory over Londrina with a score of 2-1 has significantly altered their promotion prospects. Their probability of being promoted increased from 10.0% to 16.2%, reflecting this crucial win. Londrina, on the other hand, saw their relegation chances surge from 86.7% to 92.6%, putting them in a precarious position as they remain 18th in the standings with 22 points.

In a parallel development, São Bernardo's 2-0 triumph against Ponte Preta has diminished their relegation probability from 11.3% to 5.1%. Additionally, São Bernardo's promotion probability saw a marginal increase from 1.2% to 2.3%. Ponte Preta continues to struggle at the bottom of the table with a mere 10 points, and their relegation probability remains almost certain.

The promotion race remains competitive, with Vila Nova's promotion chances decreasing from 66.2% to 50.3% over the last three rounds. Meanwhile, Avaí's relegation probability has increased from 28.0% to 40.3% over the last two rounds, adding pressure as they sit 17th with 29 points.

As the league approaches its final stages, the next rounds will be critical for teams like Operário-PR and São Bernardo, who are looking to capitalize on their recent momentum to improve their standings further.

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