São Bernardo#10 · 41 pts has been mathematically eliminated from the promotion race following their 1-2 defeat to Londrina#18 · 28 pts. Their promotion probability has dropped from 1.8% to 0.6%. Concurrently, their relegation risk has increased from 3.3% to 5.8%, a concerning development as they continue to struggle in the league.
Vila Nova#1 · 51 pts's 2-0 victory over Goiás#13 · 39 pts has significantly boosted their promotion chances, now up by 13.9% to 59.3%. This strong performance has also increased their probability of winning the league from 8.6% to 14.3%. Vila Nova#1 · 51 pts currently sits in third place, tied on points with Criciúma#5 · 47 pts and Fortaleza#4 · 48 pts but ahead on goal difference, strengthening their position for potential promotion.
Londrina#18 · 28 pts's win over São Bernardo#10 · 41 pts has reduced their relegation probability by 8.2%, now at 81.9%. Despite this improvement, they remain in a precarious position, as they are still in the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Sport#8 · 44 pts's 2-0 win against Ponte Preta#20 · 13 pts has elevated their promotion probability by 3.7%, now at 9.6%, keeping them in the hunt for a top-four finish.
Looking ahead, the next rounds will be critical for teams like Vila Nova#1 · 51 pts and Sport#8 · 44 pts as they aim to solidify their promotion bids, while São Bernardo#10 · 41 pts must focus on steering clear of relegation threats.