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Náutico Relegation Chances 2026 — 21.1%

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 6 of 38 · Rank #17 · 5 MP

Náutico Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Key Insights
3.7%
Winner
21.1%
Relegation
#17
Position
LWWLL
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓

Live — Updated at

Náutico are 17th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 5 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 21.1% chance of relegation — with 32 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, Náutico have recorded 2 wins, 3 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their relegation probability, Náutico's winner chance currently stands at 3.7%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Náutico's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 3.7%
  • Promotion: 16.8%
  • Relegation: 21.1%

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Athletic Club#11Winner: 6.3%Promotion: 24.1%Relegation: 14.2%10:00 PMNáutico#17Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 16.8%Relegation: 21.1%
41%
32%
Botafogo-SP#10Winner: 4.4%Promotion: 19.1%Relegation: 18.0%3:00 PMNáutico#17Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 16.8%Relegation: 21.1%
55%
23%
Náutico#17Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 16.8%Relegation: 21.1%3:00 PMAmérica-MG#20Winner: 0.7%Promotion: 4.5%Relegation: 48.7%
20%
48%
Operário-PR#8Winner: 5.3%Promotion: 21.9%Relegation: 15.3%3:00 PMNáutico#17Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 16.8%Relegation: 21.1%
44%
21%
Náutico#17Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 16.8%Relegation: 21.1%3:00 PMCuiabá#16Winner: 3.0%Promotion: 14.4%Relegation: 23.3%
20%
48%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-18Náutico#17Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 16.8%Relegation: 21.1%0 - 3São Bernardo#3Winner: 7.4%Promotion: 27.6%Relegation: 11.4%
2026-04-11Ceará#6Winner: 6.9%Promotion: 26.1%Relegation: 12.2%1 - 0Náutico#17Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 16.8%Relegation: 21.1%
2026-04-04Náutico#17Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 16.8%Relegation: 21.1%1 - 0Ponte Preta#14Winner: 3.2%Promotion: 15.2%Relegation: 22.3%
2026-04-01Atlético-GO#13Winner: 3.2%Promotion: 15.4%Relegation: 22.2%1 - 2Náutico#17Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 16.8%Relegation: 21.1%
2026-03-22Náutico#17Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 16.8%Relegation: 21.1%0 - 1Criciúma#4Winner: 7.4%Promotion: 27.5%Relegation: 11.4%