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Corinthians R16 Chances 2026 — 100.0%

Copa Libertadores 2026 · Round 6 of 62 · Rank #4 · 6 MP

Copa LibertadoresBrasileirãoCopa do Brasil
Corinthians Copa Libertadores 2026 — Key Insights
7.7%
Win
0.0%
Exit
#4
Position
WDDLD
Last 5 matches
Corinthians are the clear favourites for R16 at 100.0%, currently ranked 4th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Corinthians are 4th in the Copa Libertadores 2026 2026 season after 6 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of r16 — with 56 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Copa Libertadores 2026 matches, Corinthians have recorded 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their r16 probability, Corinthians's win chance currently stands at 7.7%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Copa Libertadores 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Corinthians's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 7.7%
  • Final: 15.4%
  • SF: 31.0%
  • QF: 62.0%
  • R16: 100.0%Since 2026-08-11
  • Exit: 0.0%Since 2026-08-11

More analysis

Win →Final →SF →QF →R16 →Exit →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Copa Libertadores 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Rosario Central Win ChancesFlamengo Final ChancesIndependiente Rivadavia SF ChancesLDU QF ChancesPalmeiras QF ChancesCoquimbo Unido QF ChancesUniversidad Católica QF ChancesIndependiente del Valle R16 Chances

Next matches

Corinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%21:30Rosario Central#1Win: 10.6%Final: 19.3%SF: 35.2%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%
34%
37%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-08-16Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 2Cruzeiro#11Win: 5.0%Final: 10.2%SF: 20.5%QF: 41.5%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-13Copa LibertadoresRosario Central#1Win: 10.6%Final: 19.3%SF: 35.2%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%0 - 0Corinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-09Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ABragantino0 - 2Corinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-06Copa do BrasilCorinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Internacional
2026-08-02Copa do BrasilInternacional2 - 0Corinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-07-30Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%0 - 0Athletico-PR
2026-07-26Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ABahia1 - 1Corinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-07-23Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Remo
2026-05-30Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AGrêmio1 - 3Corinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-27Copa LibertadoresCorinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%0 - 2Platense
2026-05-24Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Atlético-MG
2026-05-21Copa LibertadoresPeñarol#20Exit: 100.0%1 - 1Corinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-17Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ABotafogo3 - 1Corinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-14Copa do BrasilCorinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Barra-SC
2026-05-10Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 2São Paulo
2026-05-06Copa LibertadoresSanta Fe1 - 1Corinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-03Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AMirassol#14Win: 4.1%Final: 8.5%SF: 17.6%QF: 36.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Corinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-30Copa LibertadoresCorinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 0Peñarol#20Exit: 100.0%
2026-04-26Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Vasco
2026-04-21Copa do BrasilBarra-SC0 - 1Corinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-18Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AVitória0 - 0Corinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-15Copa LibertadoresCorinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 0Santa Fe
2026-04-12Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%0 - 0Palmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.5%SF: 26.9%QF: 53.5%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-09Copa LibertadoresPlatense0 - 2Corinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-05Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%0 - 1Internacional
2026-04-01Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFluminense#16Win: 3.8%Final: 8.2%SF: 17.7%QF: 38.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 1Corinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-22Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Flamengo#2Win: 10.4%Final: 19.1%SF: 35.2%QF: 64.5%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-19Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AChapecoense0 - 0Corinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-15Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ASantos1 - 1Corinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-11Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%0 - 2Coritiba
2026-02-25Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACruzeiro#11Win: 5.0%Final: 10.2%SF: 20.5%QF: 41.5%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Corinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-19Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AAthletico-PR0 - 1Corinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-12Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 0Bragantino
2026-01-28Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#4Win: 7.7%Final: 15.4%SF: 31.0%QF: 62.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 2Bahia