Elche
Elche Relegation Chances 2026 — 6.4%
La Liga 25/26 · Round 34 of 38 · Rank #15 · 33 MP
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Elche are 15th in the La Liga 25/26 2026 season after 33 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 6.4% chance of relegation — with 4 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 La Liga 25/26 matches, Elche have recorded 4 wins, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining La Liga 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Elche's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 0.0%Since 2025-11-09
- Champions League: 0.0%Since 2026-02-01
- Europa League: 0.0%Since 2026-02-21
- Conference League: 0.7%
- Relegation: 6.4%
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Real Oviedo#20Relegation: 99.6% | 1 - 2 | |
| 2026-04-22 | Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4% | 3 - 2 | |
| 2026-04-11 | Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4% | 1 - 0 | |
| 2026-04-03 | Rayo Vallecano#12Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.0% | 1 - 0 | |
| 2026-03-21 | Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4% | 2 - 1 | |
| 2026-03-14 | Real Madrid#2Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 99.9% | 4 - 1 | |
| 2026-03-08 | Villarreal#3Champions League: 99.9% | 2 - 1 | |
| 2026-03-01 | Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4% | 2 - 2 | |
| 2026-02-20 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.7%Relegation: 0.5% | 2 - 1 | |
| 2026-02-13 | Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4% | 0 - 0 | |
| 2026-02-07 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6% | 3 - 1 | |
| 2026-01-31 | Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4% | 1 - 3 | |
| 2026-01-23 | Levante#19Relegation: 69.4% | 3 - 2 | |
| 2026-01-19 | Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4% | 2 - 2 | |
| 2026-01-10 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% | 1 - 1 | |
| 2026-01-03 | Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4% | 1 - 3 | |
| 2025-12-21 | Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4% | 4 - 0 | |
| 2025-12-13 | Mallorca#14Relegation: 13.2% | 3 - 1 | |
| 2025-12-07 | Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4% | 3 - 0 | |
| 2025-11-28 | Getafe#6Europa League: 3.7%Conference League: 24.0% | 1 - 0 | |
| 2025-11-23 | Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4% | 2 - 2 | |
| 2025-11-07 | Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4% | 1 - 1 | |
| 2025-11-02 | Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9% | 3 - 1 | |
| 2025-10-25 | Espanyol#13Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.9% | 1 - 0 | |
| 2025-10-19 | Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4% | 0 - 0 | |
| 2025-10-05 | Alavés#17Conference League: 0.1%Relegation: 22.4% | 3 - 1 | |
| 2025-09-28 | Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4% | 2 - 1 | |
| 2025-09-25 | Osasuna#9Europa League: 0.9%Conference League: 10.3% | 1 - 1 | |
| 2025-09-21 | Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4% | 1 - 0 | |
| 2025-09-12 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 58.1% | 2 - 2 | |
| 2025-08-29 | Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4% | 2 - 0 | |
| 2025-08-23 | Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3% | 1 - 1 | |
| 2025-08-18 | Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4% | 1 - 1 |