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Barcelona UCL Chances 2027: 95.8%

La Liga 26/27 · Round 12 of 38 · Rank #1 · 12 MP

La LigaChampions League 2026/27
Barcelona La Liga 26/27: Key Insights
62.4%
Win
0.0%
Releg
#1
Position
WWLWW
Last 5 matches
Barcelona are the clear favourites for UCL at 95.8%, currently ranked 1st, updated after every match.

Updated at

Barcelona are 1st in the La Liga 26/27 2027 season after 12 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 95.8% chance of ucl. With 26 rounds still to play, the final table is far from settled.

In their last 5 La Liga 26/27 matches, Barcelona have recorded 4 wins, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their ucl probability, Barcelona's win chance currently stands at 62.4%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs hundreds of thousands of simulations of all remaining La Liga 26/27 fixtures, taking in every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Barcelona's 2027 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 62.4%
  • UCL: 95.8%
  • UEL: 1.9%
  • ECL: 1.0%
  • Releg: 0.0%Since 2026-10-17

More analysis

Win →UCL →UEL →ECL →Releg →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all La Liga 26/27 standings and odds

See also:

Real Madrid UCL ChancesAtlético de Madrid UCL ChancesBetis UCL ChancesReal Sociedad UEL ChancesSevilla ECL Chances

Table position by round

WinUCLUELECLReleg

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Barcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%1:00 PMVillarreal#9Win: 0.1%UCL: 9.3%UEL: 12.6%ECL: 12.2%Releg: 4.6%
73%16%11%
Deportivo#8Win: 0.1%UCL: 4.1%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 7.5%Releg: 6.3%3:15 PMBarcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%
18%22%60%
Barcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%8:30 PMAtlético Madrid#3Win: 8.3%UCL: 81.1%UEL: 8.1%ECL: 4.3%
67%19%14%
Barcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%5:00 PMCelta#12UCL: 2.2%UEL: 3.1%ECL: 4.8%Releg: 11.2%
77%15%8%
Málaga#20UCL: 0.1%UEL: 0.1%ECL: 0.2%Releg: 76.2%5:00 PMBarcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%
8%15%77%

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Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-11-08La LigaAtlético Madrid1 - 2Barcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%
2026-11-03Barcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%3 - 0Aston Villa
2026-10-31La LigaBarcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%6 - 1Alavés#13UCL: 2.0%UEL: 2.5%ECL: 3.9%Releg: 14.2%
2026-10-25La LigaBarcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%1 - 2Real Madrid#2Win: 22.0%UCL: 90.9%UEL: 3.8%ECL: 2.1%
2026-10-20PSG4 - 2Barcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%
2026-10-17La LigaBetis#4Win: 4.6%UCL: 63.4%UEL: 14.9%ECL: 8.1%2 - 5Barcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%
2026-10-13Galatasaray1 - 4Barcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%
2026-10-10La LigaBarcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%3 - 0Getafe#16UCL: 1.2%UEL: 1.4%ECL: 2.2%Releg: 22.9%
2026-09-19La LigaSevilla#6Win: 0.4%UCL: 8.7%UEL: 8.2%ECL: 10.1%Releg: 3.1%1 - 3Barcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%
2026-09-16La LigaBarcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%7 - 2Racing Santander#10Win: 0.1%UCL: 2.4%UEL: 2.3%ECL: 3.1%Releg: 21.0%
2026-09-13La LigaLevante#17UCL: 1.0%UEL: 1.4%ECL: 2.5%Releg: 21.4%2 - 4Barcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%
2026-09-09Barcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%5 - 1Feyenoord
2026-09-06La LigaValencia#19UCL: 0.4%UEL: 0.6%ECL: 1.1%Releg: 36.6%0 - 5Barcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%
2026-08-31La LigaBarcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%5 - 2Rayo Vallecano#11Win: 0.1%UCL: 2.1%UEL: 2.8%ECL: 4.5%Releg: 12.5%
2026-08-27La LigaBarcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%2 - 0Athletic Bilbao#7Win: 0.3%UCL: 7.6%UEL: 8.2%ECL: 10.3%Releg: 3.4%
2026-08-23La LigaElche#18UCL: 0.7%UEL: 1.3%ECL: 2.1%Releg: 24.3%0 - 5Barcelona#1Win: 62.4%UCL: 95.8%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 1.0%