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Barcelona Champions League Chances 2026 — 99.9%

La Liga 25/26 · Round 33 of 38 · Rank #1 · 33 MP

Barcelona La Liga 25/26 — Key Insights
99.8%
Winner
0.0%
Relegation
#1
Position
WWWWW
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓

Live — Updated at

Barcelona are 1st in the La Liga 25/26 2026 season after 33 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 99.9% chance of champions league — with 5 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 La Liga 25/26 matches, Barcelona have recorded 5 wins. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their champions league probability, Barcelona's winner chance currently stands at 99.8%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining La Liga 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Barcelona's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 99.8%
  • Champions League: 99.9%
  • Europa League: 0.0%Since 2026-02-22
  • Conference League: 0.0%Since 2025-12-13
  • Relegation: 0.0%Since 2025-09-25

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Osasuna#9Europa League: 0.9%Conference League: 10.4%3:00 PMBarcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%
46%
29%
Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%3:00 PMReal Madrid#2Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 99.9%
76%
9%
Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2%3:00 PMBarcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%
22%
56%
Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%3:00 PMBetis#5Champions League: 0.3%Europa League: 87.1%Conference League: 9.6%
76%
9%
Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.8%3:00 PMBarcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%
24%
54%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-25Getafe#6Europa League: 3.8%Conference League: 23.7%0 - 2Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%
2026-04-22Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%1 - 0Celta#7Europa League: 4.2%Conference League: 30.6%
2026-04-11Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%4 - 1Espanyol#13Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.5%
2026-04-04Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%1 - 2Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%
2026-03-22Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%1 - 0Rayo Vallecano#12Europa League: 0.1%Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.5%
2026-03-15Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%5 - 2Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5%
2026-03-07Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4%0 - 1Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%
2026-02-28Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%4 - 1Villarreal#3Champions League: 99.9%
2026-02-22Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%3 - 0Levante#19Relegation: 66.8%
2026-02-16Girona#15Conference League: 0.4%Relegation: 8.9%2 - 1Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%
2026-02-07Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%3 - 0Mallorca#17Relegation: 31.9%
2026-01-31Elche#14Conference League: 0.8%Relegation: 5.1%1 - 3Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%
2026-01-25Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%3 - 0Real Oviedo#20Relegation: 99.3%
2026-01-18Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3%2 - 1Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%
2026-01-03Espanyol#13Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.5%0 - 2Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%
2025-12-21Villarreal#3Champions League: 99.9%0 - 2Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%
2025-12-13Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%2 - 0Osasuna#9Europa League: 0.9%Conference League: 10.4%
2025-12-06Betis#5Champions League: 0.3%Europa League: 87.1%Conference League: 9.6%3 - 5Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%
2025-12-02Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%3 - 1Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
2025-11-29Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%3 - 1Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2%
2025-11-22Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%4 - 0Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4%
2025-11-09Celta#7Europa League: 4.2%Conference League: 30.6%2 - 4Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%
2025-11-02Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%3 - 1Elche#14Conference League: 0.8%Relegation: 5.1%
2025-10-26Real Madrid#2Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 99.9%2 - 1Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%
2025-10-18Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%2 - 1Girona#15Conference League: 0.4%Relegation: 8.9%
2025-10-05Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5%4 - 1Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%
2025-09-28Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%2 - 1Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3%
2025-09-25Real Oviedo#20Relegation: 99.3%1 - 3Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%
2025-09-21Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%3 - 0Getafe#6Europa League: 3.8%Conference League: 23.7%
2025-09-14Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%6 - 0Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.8%
2025-08-31Rayo Vallecano#12Europa League: 0.1%Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.5%1 - 1Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%
2025-08-23Levante#19Relegation: 66.8%2 - 3Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%
2025-08-16Mallorca#17Relegation: 31.9%0 - 3Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%