Real Madrid
Real Madrid Champions League Chances 2026 — 100.0%
La Liga 25/26 · Round 38 of 38 · Rank #2 · 38 MP
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Real Madrid are 2nd in the La Liga 25/26 2026 season after 38 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of champions league — with 0 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 La Liga 25/26 matches, Real Madrid have recorded 4 wins, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining La Liga 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Real Madrid's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-05-10
- Champions League: 100.0%Since 2026-05-03
- Europa League: 0.0%Since 2026-03-06
- Conference League: 0.0%Since 2026-01-31
- Relegation: 0.0%Since 2025-10-26
La Liga 25/26 — Competition Races:
← View all La Liga 25/26 standings and odds
See also:
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% | 4 - 2 |  Athletic Bilbao#12 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sevilla#13 | 0 - 1 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-05-14 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 0 |  Real Oviedo#20Relegation: 100.0% |
| 2026-05-10 | Barcelona#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 0 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-05-03 | Espanyol#11 | 0 - 2 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-04-24 | Betis#5Europa League: 100.0% | 1 - 1 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-04-21 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 1 |  Alavés#14 |
| 2026-04-10 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% | 1 - 1 |  Girona#19Relegation: 100.0% |
| 2026-04-04 | Mallorca#18 | 2 - 1 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-03-22 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 2 |  Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-03-14 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% | 4 - 1 |  Elche#15 |
| 2026-03-06 | Celta#6Conference League: 100.0% | 1 - 2 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-03-02 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% | 0 - 1 |  Getafe#7 |
| 2026-02-21 | Osasuna#17 | 2 - 1 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-02-14 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% | 4 - 1 |  Real Sociedad#10 |
| 2026-02-08 | Valencia#9 | 0 - 2 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-02-01 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 1 |  Rayo Vallecano#8 |
| 2026-01-24 | Villarreal#3Champions League: 100.0% | 0 - 2 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 0 |  Levante#16Relegation: 100.0% |
| 2026-01-04 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% | 5 - 1 | Betis#5Europa League: 100.0% |
| 2025-12-20 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 0 | Sevilla#13 |
| 2025-12-14 | Alavés#14 | 1 - 2 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-12-07 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% | 0 - 2 | Celta#6Conference League: 100.0% |
| 2025-12-03 | Athletic Bilbao#12 | 0 - 3 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-11-30 | Girona#19Relegation: 100.0% | 1 - 1 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-11-23 | Elche#15 | 2 - 2 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-11-09 | Rayo Vallecano#8 | 0 - 0 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-11-01 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% | 4 - 0 | Valencia#9 |
| 2025-10-26 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 1 | Barcelona#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-10-19 | Getafe#7 | 0 - 1 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-10-04 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 1 | Villarreal#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-09-27 | Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 100.0% | 5 - 2 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-09-23 | Levante#16Relegation: 100.0% | 1 - 4 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-09-20 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 0 | Espanyol#11 |
| 2025-09-13 | Real Sociedad#10 | 1 - 2 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-08-30 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 1 | Mallorca#18 |
| 2025-08-24 | Real Oviedo#20Relegation: 100.0% | 0 - 3 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-08-19 | Real Madrid#2Champions League: 100.0% | 1 - 0 | Osasuna#17 |