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Real Sociedad Conference League Chances 2026 — 16.6%

La Liga 25/26 · Round 34 of 38 · Rank #8 · 33 MP

Real Sociedad La Liga 25/26 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
0.0%
Relegation
#8
Position
LWDLD
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓

Live — Updated at

Real Sociedad are 8th in the La Liga 25/26 2026 season after 33 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 16.6% chance of conference league — with 4 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 La Liga 25/26 matches, Real Sociedad have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining La Liga 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Real Sociedad's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2025-09-28
  • Champions League: 0.0%Since 2026-03-22
  • Europa League: 3.1%
  • Conference League: 16.6%
  • Relegation: 0.0%Since 2026-04-04

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Sevilla#18Relegation: 58.1%7:00 PMReal Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%
19%
60%
Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%7:00 PMBetis#5Champions League: 0.3%Europa League: 87.3%Conference League: 9.4%
41%
36%
Girona#16Relegation: 20.3%6:00 PMReal Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%
42%
33%
Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%5:00 PMValencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2%
41%
36%
Espanyol#13Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.9%5:00 PMReal Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%
43%
30%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-26Rayo Vallecano#12Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.0%3 - 3Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%
2026-04-22Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%0 - 1Getafe#6Europa League: 3.7%Conference League: 24.0%
2026-04-11Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%3 - 3Alavés#17Conference League: 0.1%Relegation: 22.4%
2026-04-04Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%2 - 0Levante#19Relegation: 69.4%
2026-03-20Villarreal#3Champions League: 99.9%3 - 1Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%
2026-03-15Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%3 - 1Osasuna#9Europa League: 0.9%Conference League: 10.3%
2026-03-07Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%3 - 2Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%
2026-02-28Mallorca#14Relegation: 13.2%0 - 1Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%
2026-02-21Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%3 - 3Real Oviedo#20Relegation: 99.6%
2026-02-14Real Madrid#2Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 99.9%4 - 1Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%
2026-02-07Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%3 - 1Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4%
2026-02-01Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.7%Relegation: 0.5%1 - 1Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%
2026-01-25Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%3 - 1Celta#7Europa League: 4.2%Conference League: 30.7%
2026-01-18Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%2 - 1Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%
2026-01-09Getafe#6Europa League: 3.7%Conference League: 24.0%1 - 2Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%
2026-01-04Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%1 - 1Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
2025-12-20Levante#19Relegation: 69.4%1 - 1Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%
2025-12-12Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%1 - 2Girona#16Relegation: 20.3%
2025-12-06Alavés#17Conference League: 0.1%Relegation: 22.4%1 - 0Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%
2025-11-30Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%2 - 3Villarreal#3Champions League: 99.9%
2025-11-22Osasuna#9Europa League: 0.9%Conference League: 10.3%1 - 3Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%
2025-11-07Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4%1 - 1Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%
2025-11-01Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%3 - 2Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.7%Relegation: 0.5%
2025-10-24Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%2 - 1Sevilla#18Relegation: 58.1%
2025-10-19Celta#7Europa League: 4.2%Conference League: 30.7%1 - 1Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%
2025-10-05Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%0 - 1Rayo Vallecano#12Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.0%
2025-09-28Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%2 - 1Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%
2025-09-24Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%1 - 0Mallorca#14Relegation: 13.2%
2025-09-19Betis#5Champions League: 0.3%Europa League: 87.3%Conference League: 9.4%3 - 1Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%
2025-09-13Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%1 - 2Real Madrid#2Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 99.9%
2025-08-30Real Oviedo#20Relegation: 99.6%1 - 0Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%
2025-08-24Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%2 - 2Espanyol#13Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.9%
2025-08-16Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2%1 - 1Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%