Valencia
Valencia Relegation Chances 2026 — 3.2%
La Liga 25/26 · Round 34 of 38 · Rank #11 · 33 MP
Valencia La Liga 25/26 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
3.2%
Relegation
#11
Position
WLLDW
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓
Live — Updated at
Valencia are 11th in the La Liga 25/26 2026 season after 33 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 3.2% chance of relegation — with 4 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 La Liga 25/26 matches, Valencia have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining La Liga 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Valencia's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 0.0%Since 2025-10-18
- Champions League: 0.0%Since 2026-01-25
- Europa League: 0.0%Since 2026-04-21
- Conference League: 1.2%
- Relegation: 3.2%
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2%2:15 PM
Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
2:15 PMAtlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%24%
54%
Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.7%Relegation: 0.5%
2:15 PMValencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2%
2:15 PMValencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2%30%
42%
Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2%5:00 PM
Rayo Vallecano#12Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.0%
5:00 PMRayo Vallecano#12Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.0%24%
54%
Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6%
5:00 PMValencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2%
5:00 PMValencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2%41%
36%
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% | 2 - 1 |  Girona#16Relegation: 20.3% |
| 2026-04-21 | Mallorca#14Relegation: 13.2% | 1 - 1 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% |
| 2026-04-11 | Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4% | 1 - 0 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% |
| 2026-04-05 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% | 2 - 3 |  Celta#7Europa League: 4.2%Conference League: 30.7% |
| 2026-03-21 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 58.1% | 0 - 2 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% |
| 2026-03-14 | Real Oviedo#20Relegation: 99.6% | 1 - 0 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% |
| 2026-03-08 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% | 3 - 2 |  Alavés#17Conference League: 0.1%Relegation: 22.4% |
| 2026-03-01 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% | 1 - 0 |  Osasuna#9Europa League: 0.9%Conference League: 10.3% |
| 2026-02-22 | Villarreal#3Champions League: 99.9% | 2 - 1 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% |
| 2026-02-15 | Levante#19Relegation: 69.4% | 0 - 2 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% |
| 2026-02-08 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% | 0 - 2 |  Real Madrid#2Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-02-01 | Betis#5Champions League: 0.3%Europa League: 87.3%Conference League: 9.4% | 2 - 1 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% |
| 2026-01-24 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% | 3 - 2 |  Espanyol#13Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.9% |
| 2026-01-18 | Getafe#6Europa League: 3.7%Conference League: 24.0% | 0 - 1 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% |
| 2026-01-10 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% | 1 - 1 | Elche#15Conference League: 0.7%Relegation: 6.4% |
| 2026-01-03 | Celta#7Europa League: 4.2%Conference League: 30.7% | 4 - 1 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% |
| 2025-12-19 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% | 1 - 1 | Mallorca#14Relegation: 13.2% |
| 2025-12-13 | Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3% | 2 - 1 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% |
| 2025-12-07 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% | 1 - 1 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 58.1% |
| 2025-12-01 | Rayo Vallecano#12Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.0% | 1 - 1 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% |
| 2025-11-21 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% | 1 - 0 | Levante#19Relegation: 69.4% |
| 2025-11-09 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% | 1 - 1 | Betis#5Champions League: 0.3%Europa League: 87.3%Conference League: 9.4% |
| 2025-11-01 | Real Madrid#2Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 99.9% | 4 - 0 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% |
| 2025-10-25 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% | 0 - 2 | Villarreal#3Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-10-20 | Alavés#17Conference League: 0.1%Relegation: 22.4% | 0 - 0 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% |
| 2025-10-04 | Girona#16Relegation: 20.3% | 2 - 1 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% |
| 2025-09-30 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% | 1 - 2 | Real Oviedo#20Relegation: 99.6% |
| 2025-09-23 | Espanyol#13Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.9% | 2 - 2 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% |
| 2025-09-20 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% | 2 - 0 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.7%Relegation: 0.5% |
| 2025-09-14 | Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9% | 6 - 0 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% |
| 2025-08-29 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% | 3 - 0 | Getafe#6Europa League: 3.7%Conference League: 24.0% |
| 2025-08-24 | Osasuna#9Europa League: 0.9%Conference League: 10.3% | 1 - 0 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% |
| 2025-08-16 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.2% | 1 - 1 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.6% |