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England Knockout Chances 2026 — 92.8%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 6 of 94 · Rank #8 · 0 MP

How far can England go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track England's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 13, 2026

England FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
5.1%
Winner
7.2%
Group Stage Exit
#8
Position
England are the clear favourites for Knockout at 92.8%, currently ranked 8th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 5.1%
  • Final: 10.4%
  • Semifinals: 17.8%
  • Quarterfinals: 33.8%
  • Round of 16: 65.2%
  • Knockout: 92.8%
  • Group Stage Exit: 7.2%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Brazil Semifinals ChancesGermany Semifinals ChancesArgentina Quarterfinals ChancesUnited States Quarterfinals ChancesNetherlands Quarterfinals ChancesMexico Round of 16 ChancesPortugal Round of 16 ChancesSpain Round of 16 ChancesSwitzerland Round of 16 ChancesColombia Round of 16 Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

England#8Winner: 5.1%Final: 10.4%Semifinals: 17.8%Quarterfinals: 33.8%Round of 16: 65.2%Knockout: 92.8%Group Stage Exit: 7.2%8:00 PMCroatia#14Winner: 1.8%Final: 4.0%Semifinals: 9.4%Quarterfinals: 20.0%Round of 16: 41.8%Knockout: 80.0%Group Stage Exit: 20.0%
England#8Winner: 5.1%Final: 10.4%Semifinals: 17.8%Quarterfinals: 33.8%Round of 16: 65.2%Knockout: 92.8%Group Stage Exit: 7.2%8:00 PMGhana#41Winner: 0.1%Final: 0.2%Semifinals: 1.2%Quarterfinals: 3.8%Round of 16: 11.8%Knockout: 43.8%Group Stage Exit: 56.2%
Panama#40Winner: 0.1%Final: 0.3%Semifinals: 1.5%Quarterfinals: 4.9%Round of 16: 15.9%Knockout: 53.1%Group Stage Exit: 46.9%9:00 PMEngland#8Winner: 5.1%Final: 10.4%Semifinals: 17.8%Quarterfinals: 33.8%Round of 16: 65.2%Knockout: 92.8%Group Stage Exit: 7.2%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway