Arminia Bielefeld Promotion Chances
2. Bundesliga 26/27
Arminia Bielefeld are an outside contender for promotion, with a 9.8% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 2.8% |
| Promotion | 9.8% |
| Playoff | 10.6% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Arminia Bielefeld are currently 4th in the 2. Bundesliga 26/27 table with 1 matches played (1W 0D 0L, 3 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 9.8%, Arminia Bielefeld are currently a outside contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Arminia Bielefeld's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Arminia Bielefeld's probability of promotion has climbed from 4.3% to 9.8%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Arminia Bielefeld achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 2. Bundesliga 26/27 — Promotion odds for every team
| Nürnberg | 71.0% |
| Hertha BSC | 68.2% |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 18.2% |
| Magdeburg | 9.5% |
| Bochum | 6.0% |
| Energie Cottbus | 6.0% |
| Dynamo Dresden | 5.3% |
| St. Pauli | 2.8% |
| Kaiserslautern | 2.4% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full 2. Bundesliga 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.