Arsenal Title Chances 2026
Premier League 2025/26
Arsenal are the clear favourite for winning the Premier League title with a 100.0% probability.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Title | 100.0% |
| Top 4 (Champions League) | 100.0% |
| Top 6 (Europa League) | 0.0% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Arsenal are currently 1st in the Premier League 2025/26 table with 38 matches played (26W 7D 5L, 85 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 100%, Arsenal are currently a strong contender for winning the Premier League title. Arsenal's title probability is driven by their current points total, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and the simulated performance of every rival over the rest of the season.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Arsenal achieves winning the Premier League title across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Premier League 2025/26 — title odds for every team
| Manchester City | 0.0% |
| Manchester United | 0.0% |
| Aston Villa | 0.0% |
| Liverpool | 0.0% |
| Bournemouth | 0.0% |
| Sunderland | 0.0% |
| Brighton | 0.0% |
| Brentford | 0.0% |
| Chelsea | 0.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Premier League 2025/26 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.