Holstein Kiel Promotion Chances
2. Bundesliga 26/27
Holstein Kiel face long odds for promotion, with only a 0.5% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Promotion | 0.5% |
| Playoff | 2.8% |
| Relegation | 5.4% |
Holstein Kiel are currently 11th in the 2. Bundesliga 26/27 table with 1 matches played (0W 1D 0L, 1 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 0.5%, Holstein Kiel are currently a long shot for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Holstein Kiel's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Holstein Kiel's probability of promotion has dropped from 4% to 0.5%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Holstein Kiel achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 2. Bundesliga 26/27 — Promotion odds for every team
| Nürnberg | 71.0% |
| Hertha BSC | 68.2% |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 18.2% |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 9.8% |
| Magdeburg | 9.5% |
| Bochum | 6.0% |
| Energie Cottbus | 6.0% |
| Dynamo Dresden | 5.3% |
| St. Pauli | 2.8% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full 2. Bundesliga 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.