Palmeiras
Palmeiras Libertadores Chances 2026 — 99.1%
Brasileirão 2026 · Round 28 of 38 · Rank #2 · 28 MP
Palmeiras Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
27.0%
Win
0.0%
Releg
#2
Position
WDDWD
Last 5 matches
Palmeiras are the clear favourites for Libertadores at 99.1%, currently ranked 2nd — updated after every match.
Live — Updated at
Palmeiras are 2nd in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 28 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 99.1% chance of libertadores — with 10 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Palmeiras have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their libertadores probability, Palmeiras's win chance currently stands at 27.0%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Palmeiras's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 27.0%
- Libertadores: 99.1%
- Pre-Libertadores: 0.9%
- Sulamericana: 0.0%Since 2026-09-12
- Releg: 0.0%Since 2026-04-26
Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:
More analysis
← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9%8:30 PM
Corinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 27.4%Releg: 21.7%
8:30 PMCorinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 27.4%Releg: 21.7%77%
7%
Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 68.0%Pre-Libertadores: 24.9%Sulamericana: 7.1%
10:30 PMPalmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9%
10:30 PMPalmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9%54%
19%
Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9%9:30 PM
Bragantino#11Libertadores: 0.4%Pre-Libertadores: 3.0%Sulamericana: 65.2%Releg: 3.0%
9:30 PMBragantino#11Libertadores: 0.4%Pre-Libertadores: 3.0%Sulamericana: 65.2%Releg: 3.0%77%
7%
Latest News
Flamengo Strengthens Title Bid as Grêmio Faces Relegation Woes
Round-up2026-09-20
Flamengo's narrow 2-1 victory over Bragantino has further solidified their position at the top of the Brasileirão standings. With 60 points, Flamengo now enjoys…
Quarterfinals Drama Unfolds: High Stakes and Tight Margins
Knockout Preview2026-09-14
As the quarterfinals reach their decisive second legs, the tension is palpable in this thrilling knockout stage. Four enticing matches are set to determine who …
Flamengo's Title Hopes Rise as Corinthians Face Relegation Threat
Round-up2026-09-13
Flamengo fans have reason to celebrate after their team clinched a 2-1 victory over Corinthians, a result that has significantly boosted their chances of winnin…
Palmeiras Edges Closer to Glory, São Paulo's Relegation Fears Rise
Round-up2026-09-12
In a weekend of electrifying drama, Palmeiras surged ahead in the Brasileirão title race with a commanding 2-0 victory over São Paulo, propelling them to the to…
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |  | Grêmio#17Sulamericana: 8.4%Releg: 51.6% | 0 - 0 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-09-16 |  | LDU | 3 - 2(3-4 pen) | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-09-12 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 2 - 0 |  São Paulo#10Libertadores: 0.5%Pre-Libertadores: 3.0%Sulamericana: 64.8%Releg: 3.0% |
| 2026-09-09 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 1 - 0 | LDU |
| 2026-09-06 | | Botafogo#12Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 1.7%Sulamericana: 53.1%Releg: 5.9% | 0 - 0 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-09-02 |  | Santos#8Libertadores: 5.6%Pre-Libertadores: 18.2%Sulamericana: 71.7% | 0 - 0 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-09-02 | | Santos#8Libertadores: 5.6%Pre-Libertadores: 18.2%Sulamericana: 71.7% | 0 - 0 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-08-30 | | Mirassol#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 24.7%Releg: 23.6% | 1 - 1 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-08-26 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 3 - 0 | Santos#8Libertadores: 5.6%Pre-Libertadores: 18.2%Sulamericana: 71.7% |
| 2026-08-26 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 3 - 0 | Santos#8Libertadores: 5.6%Pre-Libertadores: 18.2%Sulamericana: 71.7% |
| 2026-08-23 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 4 - 1 |  Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.4%Sulamericana: 29.7%Releg: 20.0% |
| 2026-08-19 | | Cerro Porteño | 0 - 1 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-08-15 | | Fluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 53.8%Pre-Libertadores: 32.7%Sulamericana: 13.5% | 3 - 2 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-08-12 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 1 - 1 | Cerro Porteño |
| 2026-08-09 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 0 - 0 |  Internacional#18Sulamericana: 5.5%Releg: 62.9% |
| 2026-08-05 | | Fortaleza | 3 - 2 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-08-05 | | Fortaleza | 3 - 2 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-08-02 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 3 - 0 | Fortaleza |
| 2026-08-02 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 3 - 0 | Fortaleza |
| 2026-07-29 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 0 - 4 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-07-26 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 1 - 2 |  Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-07-22 | | Coritiba#9Libertadores: 1.2%Pre-Libertadores: 6.3%Sulamericana: 73.5%Releg: 1.0% | 1 - 3 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-05-31 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 1 - 0 |  Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.0% |
| 2026-05-28 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 4 - 1 | Junior |
| 2026-05-23 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 0 - 3 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-05-20 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 0 - 1 | Cerro Porteño |
| 2026-05-16 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 1 - 1 |  Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 26.8%Pre-Libertadores: 37.8%Sulamericana: 35.2% |
| 2026-05-13 | | Jacuipense | 1 - 4 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-05-13 | | Jacuipense | 1 - 4 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-05-10 | | Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.3%Releg: 93.6% | 1 - 1 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-05-05 | | Sporting Cristal | 0 - 2 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-05-02 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 1 - 1 |  Santos#8Libertadores: 5.6%Pre-Libertadores: 18.2%Sulamericana: 71.7% |
| 2026-04-29 | | Cerro Porteño | 1 - 1 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-04-26 | | Bragantino#11Libertadores: 0.4%Pre-Libertadores: 3.0%Sulamericana: 65.2%Releg: 3.0% | 0 - 1 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-04-23 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 3 - 0 | Jacuipense |
| 2026-04-23 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 3 - 0 | Jacuipense |
| 2026-04-19 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 1 - 0 | Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 68.0%Pre-Libertadores: 24.9%Sulamericana: 7.1% |
| 2026-04-16 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 2 - 1 | Sporting Cristal |
| 2026-04-12 | | Corinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 27.4%Releg: 21.7% | 0 - 0 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-04-08 | | Junior | 1 - 1 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-04-05 | | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% | 1 - 2 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-04-02 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 2 - 1 | Grêmio#17Sulamericana: 8.4%Releg: 51.6% |
| 2026-03-21 | | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 0.5%Pre-Libertadores: 3.0%Sulamericana: 64.8%Releg: 3.0% | 0 - 1 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-03-18 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 2 - 1 | Botafogo#12Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 1.7%Sulamericana: 53.1%Releg: 5.9% |
| 2026-03-15 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 1 - 0 | Mirassol#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 24.7%Releg: 23.6% |
| 2026-03-12 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.4%Sulamericana: 29.7%Releg: 20.0% | 2 - 1 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-02-25 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 2 - 1 | Fluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 53.8%Pre-Libertadores: 32.7%Sulamericana: 13.5% |
| 2026-02-12 | | Internacional#18Sulamericana: 5.5%Releg: 62.9% | 1 - 3 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-02-04 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 5 - 1 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-01-28 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 2 - 2 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |