São Paulo Libertadores Qualification Chances
Brasileirão 2026
São Paulo are an outside contender for Copa Libertadores qualification, with a 13.6% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.7% |
| Libertadores | 12.8% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 13.6% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 43.6% |
| Relegation | 8.5% |
São Paulo are currently 8th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 18 matches played (7W 4D 7L, 25 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 13.6%, São Paulo are currently a outside contender for Copa Libertadores qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See São Paulo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often São Paulo achieves Copa Libertadores qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Libertadores Qualification odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 3.2% |
| Flamengo | 12.7% |
| Fluminense | 20.2% |
| Athletico-PR | 20.5% |
| Bragantino | 20.1% |
| Coritiba | 15.3% |
| Bahia | 17.7% |
| Atlético-MG | 11.5% |
| Corinthians | 10.7% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.