São Paulo Winner Chances
Brasileirão 2026
São Paulo face long odds for winning the title, with only a 0.7% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.7% |
| Libertadores | 12.8% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 13.6% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 43.6% |
| Relegation | 8.5% |
São Paulo are currently 8th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 18 matches played (7W 4D 7L, 25 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 0.7%, São Paulo are currently a long shot for winning the title. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See São Paulo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often São Paulo achieves winning the title across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Winner odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 62.8% |
| Flamengo | 18.7% |
| Fluminense | 5.5% |
| Athletico-PR | 4.2% |
| Bragantino | 3.2% |
| Coritiba | 1.0% |
| Bahia | 1.6% |
| Atlético-MG | 0.4% |
| Corinthians | 0.4% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.