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Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld Playoff Chances

2. Bundesliga 26/27

0.8%
Winner
2.7%
Promotion
2.7%
↓ -0.3% since last round
Playoff
13.1%
Relegation

Arminia Bielefeld face long odds for reaching the playoffs, with only a 2.7% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 6Last updated: 1 day ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner0.8%
Promotion2.7%
Playoff2.7%
Relegation13.1%

Arminia Bielefeld are currently 13th in the 2. Bundesliga 26/27 table with 5 matches played (1W 2D 2L, 5 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 2.7%, Arminia Bielefeld are currently a long shot for reaching the playoffs. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Arminia Bielefeld's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Arminia Bielefeld's probability of reaching the playoffs has dropped from 3.7% to 2.7%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Arminia Bielefeld achieves reaching the playoffs across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 2. Bundesliga 26/27 — Playoff odds for every team

Hertha BSC12.3%
Nürnberg13.9%
VfL Wolfsburg10.5%
Kaiserslautern10.2%
Magdeburg8.9%
FC Heidenheim8.4%
Energie Cottbus5.8%
St. Pauli4.5%
Bochum4.4%

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full 2. Bundesliga 26/27 table →

View full Arminia Bielefeld stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.