Aston Villa Relegation Chances
Premier League 26/27
Aston Villa remain in realistic contention for relegation at 23.0%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 1.4% |
| Champions League | 8.7% |
| Europa League | 3.4% |
| Relegation | 23.0% |
Aston Villa are currently 16th in the Premier League 26/27 table with 5 matches played (1W 1D 3L, 4 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 23%, Aston Villa are currently a realistic contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Aston Villa's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Aston Villa's probability of relegation has dropped from 32.3% to 23%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Aston Villa achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Premier League 26/27 — Relegation odds for every team
| Manchester City | 0.9% |
| Arsenal | 2.5% |
| Brighton | 4.6% |
| Brentford | 6.1% |
| Leeds United | 6.3% |
| Liverpool | 6.3% |
| Everton | 6.5% |
| Hull City | 8.4% |
| Newcastle | 8.5% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Premier League 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.