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Aston Villa

Aston Villa Champions League Chances

Premier League 26/27

1.4%
Winner
8.7%
↓ -0.4% since last round
Champions League
3.4%
Europa League
23.0%
Relegation

Aston Villa are an outside contender for Champions League qualification, with a 8.7% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 5Last updated: 16 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner1.4%
Champions League8.7%
Europa League3.4%
Relegation23.0%

Aston Villa are currently 16th in the Premier League 26/27 table with 5 matches played (1W 1D 3L, 4 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 8.7%, Aston Villa are currently a outside contender for Champions League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Aston Villa's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Aston Villa's probability of Champions League qualification has climbed from 6.2% to 8.7%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Aston Villa achieves Champions League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Premier League 26/27 — Champions League odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Premier League 26/27 table →

View full Aston Villa stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.