Bayern München Europa League Chances
Bundesliga 26/27
Bayern München are an outside contender for Europa League qualification, with a 6.6% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 7.0% |
| Champions League | 27.6% |
| Europa League | 6.6% |
| Conference League | 6.4% |
| Relegation | 3.0% |
Bayern München are currently 6th in the Bundesliga 26/27 table with 2 matches played (1W 1D 0L, 4 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 6.6%, Bayern München are currently a outside contender for Europa League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Bayern München's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Bayern München's probability of Europa League qualification has climbed from 0% to 6.6%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Bayern München achieves Europa League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Bundesliga 26/27 — Europa League odds for every team
| FC Augsburg | 7.3% |
| SC Freiburg | 7.2% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 7.2% |
| Elversberg | 7.3% |
| FSV Mainz | 6.6% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 6.0% |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig | 5.8% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 5.9% |
| SV Werder Bremen | 5.8% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Bundesliga 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.