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Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro Semifinals Chances

Copa Libertadores 2026

4.7%
Winner
9.7%
Final
19.8%
↓ -0.7% since last round
Semifinals
40.5%
Quarterfinals
100.0%
Round of 16
0.0%
Group Stage Exit

Cruzeiro are an outside contender for reaching the Semifinals, with a 19.8% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 6Last updated: 7 hours ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner4.7%
Final9.7%
Semifinals19.8%
Quarterfinals40.5%
Round of 16100.0%
Group Stage Exit0.0%

Cruzeiro are currently 11th in the Copa Libertadores 2026 table with 6 matches played (3W 2D 1L, 11 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 19.8%, Cruzeiro are currently a outside contender for reaching the Semifinals. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Cruzeiro's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Cruzeiro achieves reaching the Semifinals across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Copa Libertadores 2026 — Semifinals odds for every team

Rosario Central35.3%
Flamengo34.6%
Independiente Rivadavia30.0%
Corinthians30.9%
Palmeiras27.8%
LDU28.7%
Coquimbo Unido28.5%
Universidad Católica27.1%
Estudiantes de La Plata23.2%

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Copa Libertadores 2026 table →

View full Cruzeiro stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.