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Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro Quarterfinals Chances

Copa Libertadores 2026

5.0%
Winner
10.2%
Final
20.5%
Semifinals
41.5%
↑ +0.4% since last round
Quarterfinals
100.0%
Round of 16
0.0%
Group Stage Exit

Cruzeiro remain in realistic contention for reaching the Quarterfinals at 41.5%, and their odds are rising after the latest results.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 6Last updated: 14 hours ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner5.0%
Final10.2%
Semifinals20.5%
Quarterfinals41.5%
Round of 16100.0%
Group Stage Exit0.0%

Cruzeiro are currently 11th in the Copa Libertadores 2026 table with 6 matches played (3W 2D 1L, 11 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 41.5%, Cruzeiro are currently a realistic contender for reaching the Quarterfinals. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Cruzeiro's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Cruzeiro achieves reaching the Quarterfinals across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Copa Libertadores 2026 — Quarterfinals odds for every team

Rosario Central64.0%
Flamengo64.5%
Independiente Rivadavia56.1%
Corinthians62.0%
LDU58.6%
Palmeiras53.5%
Coquimbo Unido58.5%
Universidad Católica58.9%
Independiente del Valle41.4%

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Copa Libertadores 2026 table →

View full Cruzeiro stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.