Ferroviária Relegation Chances

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Ferroviária are currently 17th in the Brasileiro 2025, Serie B table with 38 matches played (8W 16D 14L, 40 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 100%, Ferroviária are currently a strong contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Ferroviária's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 5 rounds, Ferroviária's probability of relegation has climbed from 22.5% to 100%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Ferroviária achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileiro 2025, Serie B — Relegation odds for every team

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