Greuther Fürth Promotion Chances
2. Bundesliga 26/27
Greuther Fürth face long odds for promotion, with only a 3.6% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 1.2% |
| Promotion | 3.6% |
| Playoff | 3.4% |
| Relegation | 10.4% |
Greuther Fürth are currently 12th in the 2. Bundesliga 26/27 table with 6 matches played (1W 3D 2L, 6 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 3.6%, Greuther Fürth are currently a long shot for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Greuther Fürth's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Greuther Fürth's probability of promotion has dropped from 7.4% to 3.6%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Greuther Fürth achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 2. Bundesliga 26/27 — Promotion odds for every team
| Hertha BSC | 59.5% |
| Nürnberg | 44.9% |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 16.4% |
| Kaiserslautern | 15.6% |
| Magdeburg | 12.6% |
| FC Heidenheim | 12.0% |
| Energie Cottbus | 7.2% |
| St. Pauli | 5.1% |
| Bochum | 5.1% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full 2. Bundesliga 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.