
Guarani Relegation Chances
Brasileiro 2024, Serie B
Guarani are the clear favourite for relegation with a 100.0% probability.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Promotion | 0.0% |
| Relegation | 100.0% |
Guarani are currently 19th in the Brasileiro 2024, Serie B table with 37 matches played (8W 9D 20L, 33 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 100%, Guarani are currently a strong contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Guarani's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Guarani's probability of relegation has held steady around 100% over the last round.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Guarani achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2024, Serie B — Relegation odds for every team
| Santos | 0.0% |
| Mirassol | 0.0% |
| Sport | 0.0% |
| Novorizontino | 0.0% |
| Goiás | 0.0% |
| Ceará | 0.0% |
| Operário-PR | 0.0% |
| América-MG | 0.0% |
| Vila Nova | 0.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2024, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.