Manchester City Relegation Chances
Premier League 26/27
Manchester City face long odds for relegation, with only a 0.9% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 26.1% |
| Champions League | 61.2% |
| Europa League | 7.0% |
| Relegation | 0.9% |
Manchester City are currently 1st in the Premier League 26/27 table with 5 matches played (5W 0D 0L, 15 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 0.9%, Manchester City are currently a long shot for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Manchester City's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Manchester City's probability of relegation has dropped from 3.2% to 0.9%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Manchester City achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Premier League 26/27 — Relegation odds for every team
| Arsenal | 2.5% |
| Brighton | 4.6% |
| Brentford | 6.1% |
| Leeds United | 6.3% |
| Liverpool | 6.3% |
| Everton | 6.5% |
| Hull City | 8.4% |
| Newcastle | 8.5% |
| Chelsea | 11.6% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Premier League 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.