Manchester City Winner Chances
Premier League 26/27
Manchester City remain in realistic contention for winning the title at 26.1%, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 26.1% |
| Champions League | 61.2% |
| Europa League | 7.0% |
| Relegation | 0.9% |
Manchester City are currently 1st in the Premier League 26/27 table with 5 matches played (5W 0D 0L, 15 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 26.1%, Manchester City are currently a realistic contender for winning the title. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Manchester City's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Manchester City's probability of winning the title has climbed from 14.5% to 26.1%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Manchester City achieves winning the title across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Premier League 26/27 — Winner odds for every team
| Arsenal | 13.2% |
| Brighton | 8.9% |
| Brentford | 6.7% |
| Leeds United | 6.4% |
| Liverpool | 6.1% |
| Everton | 6.2% |
| Hull City | 4.8% |
| Newcastle | 4.7% |
| Chelsea | 3.4% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Premier League 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.