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Newcastle

Newcastle Europa League Chances

Premier League 26/27

4.7%
Winner
22.0%
Champions League
6.0%
↓ -0.2% since last round
Europa League
8.5%
Relegation

Newcastle are an outside contender for Europa League qualification, with a 6.0% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 5Last updated: 16 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner4.7%
Champions League22.0%
Europa League6.0%
Relegation8.5%

Newcastle are currently 9th in the Premier League 26/27 table with 5 matches played (2W 2D 1L, 8 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 6%, Newcastle are currently a outside contender for Europa League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Newcastle's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Newcastle's probability of Europa League qualification has held steady around 6% over the last round.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Newcastle achieves Europa League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Premier League 26/27 — Europa League odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Premier League 26/27 table →

View full Newcastle stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.