Newcastle Winner Chances

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Newcastle are currently 9th in the Premier League 26/27 table with 5 matches played (2W 2D 1L, 8 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 4.7%, Newcastle are currently a long shot for winning the title. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Newcastle's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Newcastle's probability of winning the title has dropped from 5.4% to 4.7%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Newcastle achieves winning the title across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Premier League 26/27 — Winner odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Premier League 26/27 table →