Roma Reaches Quarterfinals Chances
Coppa Italia 2026/27
Roma remain in realistic contention for reaching the Quarterfinals at 45.2%.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 13.0% |
| Reaches Final | 13.0% |
| Reaches Semifinals | 27.6% |
| Reaches Quarterfinals | 45.2% |
| Reaches Round of 16 | 71.4% |
Roma are currently 2nd in the Coppa Italia 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 0 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 45.2%, Roma are currently a realistic contender for reaching the Quarterfinals. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Roma's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 8 rounds, Roma's probability of reaching the Quarterfinals has dropped from 46% to 45.2%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Roma achieves reaching the Quarterfinals across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Coppa Italia 2026/27 — Reaches Quarterfinals odds for every team
| Inter | 48.1% |
| Como | 34.2% |
| Milan | 28.9% |
| Juventus | 27.1% |
| Atalanta | 33.5% |
| Napoli | 27.8% |
| Monza | 22.4% |
| Palermo | 15.5% |
| Bologna | 21.2% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Coppa Italia 2026/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.