Roma Reaches Round of 16 Chances
Coppa Italia 2026/27
Roma are strong contenders for reaching the Round of 16, sitting at 71.4%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 13.0% |
| Reaches Final | 13.0% |
| Reaches Semifinals | 27.6% |
| Reaches Quarterfinals | 45.2% |
| Reaches Round of 16 | 71.4% |
Roma are currently 2nd in the Coppa Italia 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 0 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 71.4%, Roma are currently a strong contender for reaching the Round of 16. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Roma's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 8 rounds, Roma's probability of reaching the Round of 16 has dropped from 74.4% to 71.4%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Roma achieves reaching the Round of 16 across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Coppa Italia 2026/27 — Reaches Round of 16 odds for every team
| Inter | 70.9% |
| Como | 64.3% |
| Milan | 57.4% |
| Juventus | 62.6% |
| Atalanta | 61.3% |
| Napoli | 58.4% |
| Monza | 42.6% |
| Palermo | 46.3% |
| Bologna | 53.7% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Coppa Italia 2026/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.