St. Pauli Promotion Chances
2. Bundesliga 26/27
St. Pauli face long odds for promotion, with only a 2.8% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.4% |
| Promotion | 2.8% |
| Playoff | 4.7% |
| Relegation | 0.7% |
St. Pauli are currently 9th in the 2. Bundesliga 26/27 table with 2 matches played (0W 2D 0L, 2 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 2.8%, St. Pauli are currently a long shot for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See St. Pauli's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, St. Pauli's probability of promotion has dropped from 10.5% to 2.8%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often St. Pauli achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 2. Bundesliga 26/27 — Promotion odds for every team
| Nürnberg | 71.0% |
| Hertha BSC | 68.2% |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 18.2% |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 9.8% |
| Magdeburg | 9.5% |
| Bochum | 6.0% |
| Energie Cottbus | 6.0% |
| Dynamo Dresden | 5.3% |
| Kaiserslautern | 2.4% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full 2. Bundesliga 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.